Project
CoinGlass is a crypto data analytics platform tracking derivatives metrics like liquidations, open interest, and funding rates across major exchanges.
Bitcoin traded around $81,300 on Oct. 16, holding its 50-day average of $81,279 after dipping under $80,000. Trader Ardi says the structure stays bearish until $84,200, 3.5% above that price.
Reality
Bitcoin dropped below $80,000 on Thursday after September PPI came in at 6.3% annually, a day after a hot CPI report. CoinGlass counted $948.22 million of liquidations, 90.6% of them longs, and Nexo says US spot ETF holders are back underwater.
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Bitcoin dipped below $80,000 and recovered to about $82,500 within hours, coindesk.com and Bitcoin News reported. The sources tie it more firmly to Fed rate-hike odds after hot CPI than to chip stocks, and the chip link rests on one session.
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Zcash fell 11% in 24 hours to an $18.5 billion market cap, per Decrypt data, after a 460% run from its March lows. Liquidated longs came to $17.9 million, under 1% of the roughly $2.3 billion lost, so leverage alone cannot account for the fall.
Reality
More than $106 million of Ether longs were liquidated on Binance within an hour of September's CPI release, CryptoQuant's Darkfost reported. Ether fell nearly 6% to about $2,350, with derivatives volume near nine times spot.
Reality
Crypto liquidations of $811 million cut open interest by only about 2%, to $140.9 billion, Bitget Research said before the US CPI release. Analysts quoted by crypto.news say a hot reading could force more selling and a soft one could squeeze shorts.
Reality
Exchanges closed $483 million of bitcoin and ether futures over 24 hours as bitcoin fell below $81,000. CoinGlass data in two reports agree on the total, but only crypto.news ties it to the 3.7% September CPI and an 8% Kospi drop.
Reality
Crypto exchanges liquidated about $803 million in leveraged positions over 24 hours, 86% of them longs, according to CoinGlass. SanDisk perpetual futures took $19.09 million of that, ahead of XRP's $18.78 million.
Reality
Bitcoin's drop below $82,000 on Monday liquidated $488.61 million of leveraged positions across 118,142 traders, 83.2% of it longs, Coinglass data show. The longs that survived carry their positions into Wednesday's CPI report.
Reality
Hilbert Group CIO Russell Thompson calls Bitcoin a buy on dips with the price near $82,400, inside an $82,000 to $87,000 band. The bearish moving-average crossover and the $78,000 options max-pain level he also cites both lean the other way.
Reality
Bitcoin slid 1.5% to about $82,400 on Monday as Coinglass logged $304.24 million of liquidations before the Oct. 14 CPI print. Only $63.21 million of that was bitcoin longs and shorts, so the rest of the forced trading happened elsewhere in crypto.
Reality
LayerZero's Oct. 20 unlock of 23.63 million ZRO equals 5.92% of circulating supply, about $54.1 million at $2.29, per DefiLlama. At September's roughly $1 the same tokens were worth about $23.6 million.
Reality
US spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $542.2 million of net outflows over Oct. 5-9, crypto.news reported, with ETH near $2,530. The report has flows for that week only, so a link to ETH stalling below resistance is inference.
Reality
NEAR futures open interest rose 19.16% to $1.95 billion as the token neared $6, CoinGlass data cited by crypto.news showed. The contracts equal about 25.5% of the token's $7.65 billion market cap, though price alone explains much of the increase since August.
Reality
Bitcoin traded near $84,025 on Oct. 12, up 1.3% in 24 hours, as shorts made up $39.61 million of $46.68 million in liquidations, per CoinGlass. ETF inflows on Oct. 9 replaced only 2.9% of the Oct. 7-8 outflows, and the seven-day loss of about 3.3% is still open.
Reality
Bitwise confirmed its Dogecoin ETF will stop trading on October 14, with distributions to shareholders to follow, crypto.news reported. For those holders the payout date now matters more than the week's $57.2 million net exchange outflow, about 0.4% of DOGE's market value.
Reality
Traders hold 25,030.6 BTC of $95,000 bitcoin calls expiring Oct. 30 on Deribit, about $2.07 billion in notional. Max pain for that expiry sits near $78,000, and since both figures come from the same contracts, the gap depends on whether the calls were bought outright or sold by holders.
Reality
Bitcoin climbed back to about $83,000 on Friday even as spot bitcoin ETFs shed more than $700 million this week. Bitwise Europe's Luke Deans told Decrypt that level is also the funds' average cost basis, so a typical holder can sell there near breakeven.
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Bitcoin climbed back to about $82,500 after Trump said the U.S. would not attack Iran before the Nov. 3 midterms, still about 4% down on the week. Futures open interest barely moved on the way up, so traders bought the bounce without taking on fresh leverage.
Reality
Bitcoin fell to about $81,000 on Thursday as Brent crude rose above $105 on reports that the US may strike Iran again. Whether it holds the $82,500 support traders are watching now depends largely on Treasury yields and oil prices.
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