Brent crude costs $108.51 a barrel, about $47 more than a year ago
Brent crude was $108.51 a barrel at 7:45 a.m. Eastern on 16 October, up $1.84 in a day and about $47 above a year ago, Fortune reported. Its price page adds that pump prices often lag crude on the way down, so relief reaches fuel bills late.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap0
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Brent crude at $106.67 a barrel costs about 70% more than a year ago
Brent crude traded at $106.67 a barrel on October 15, about $44 above its price a year earlier, Fortune reported. That is roughly 70% higher. The page measures price only; margins and spending are left out.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap0
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
Brent at $108.70 costs about 73% more than it did a year ago
Brent crude traded at $108.70 a barrel at 7:15 a.m. Eastern on October 14, roughly $46 above the same morning last year, according to Fortune. Against an implied $62.70 a year ago that is a rise of about 73%, a gap any fuel budget set on last year's costs has to fund.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap
- Not scored
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
Brent's $2.56 slide still leaves a barrel about 49% dearer than a year ago
Brent fell $2.56 to $100.19 a barrel on Sept. 29, still $32.86 above a year earlier, according to Fortune. Anyone buying fuel is still paying about 49% more per barrel than last autumn, and the day's drop narrows that gap only slightly.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Brent's $104.46 barrel costs 55% more than it did a year ago
Brent crude sold for $104.46 a barrel on Sept. 28, up $37.13 over the past year, according to Fortune. Fuel budgets built on last year's barrel need resetting, even though the data confirms only two sessions above $100.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Caracas puts the bill above $100 billion for reserves the White House says more than double America's, a stock claim with no schedule attached while the only new barrels come from Chevron tuning old wells.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 12%
- Operator
- Operator 38%
- Investor
- Investor 50%
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+71
- Incentives82
- Confidence63
The SPR's usable room is 40.6 million barrels, not 714 million
Crude in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is down to roughly 293 million barrels, and federal law halts routine drawdowns at 252.4 million. The gap between them is the whole tool.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+36
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence33
The reserve fell below 300 million barrels for the first time since the 1980s, and the argument is no longer about willingness to release oil. It is about salt.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives74
- Confidence62
The SPR Falls Below 300 Million Barrels, And With It A Free Option You Were Holding
US emergency crude stocks are at their lowest since 1983, according to NPR. Prediction markets moved the odds of a record crude price by December 31 from 10% to 12.5%.
Reality
- Evidence22
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives72
- Confidence28