Truist CEO Mike Lyons is directing new investment to checking, mobile and treasury management after consumer deposits rose 1.2% in a year. Wholesale clients drove most of the 3.6% rise in total deposits, PYMNTS reported.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 17%
- Operator
- Operator 35%
- Investor
- Investor 48%
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption71
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives62
- Confidence70
Regulators penalized Bank of America more than $1.21 billion for AML and sanctions failures, and no executive faced criminal charges. Crypto voices led by Binance's Changpeng Zhao say banks and crypto firms are treated differently.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 3%
- Operator
- Operator 36%
- Investor
- Investor 61%
Reality
- Evidence82
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives60
- Confidence78
Morgan Stanley reported third-quarter earnings of $3.03 a share, 7% above the $2.83 Zacks consensus, on $20.34 billion of net revenue. Equities trading gets credit for the lift, and the outlook for mergers and IPOs under rising rates is still open.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 6%
- Operator
- Operator 27%
- Investor
- Investor 67%
Reality
- Evidence82
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence80
JPMorgan CFO Jeremy Barnum said customers who give AI agents their banking credentials may be responsible for misuse or unauthorized transactions. He called the deposit threat from agents familiar, in a quarter when net interest income excluding markets reached $24.7 billion.
Perspective Coverage
11 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 25%
- Operator
- Operator 35%
- Investor
- Investor 40%
Reality
- Evidence78
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives60
- Confidence76
Fixed-income trading and 12% cost growth pull JPMorgan into its first double miss in nearly three years
JPMorgan missed on both profit and revenue for the first time in nearly three years, booking $50.17 billion against $51.22 billion expected. Goldman beat by $1.97 billion, and three of the six big banks in Fortune's tally missed on revenue.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap−5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence66
IPO flows supplied more than half of Morgan Stanley's record $232 billion wealth inflow
Morgan Stanley said more than half of its record $232 billion in third-quarter net new assets was tied to IPO-related flows, including SpaceX. That leaves under $116 billion from all other sources, roughly the total analysts expected if wealthmanagement.com's "doubled" is literal.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives45
- Confidence55
Goldman's David Solomon said no one knows how AI capital demand will evolve, as Morgan Stanley's Ted Pick called its AI financing existential. A Hennessy Funds manager says banks often arrange the debt and distribute the risk, so the demand question lands with buyers.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives65
- Confidence60
Bank of America's third-quarter net income fell 17% to $6.93 billion after a $1.2 billion anti-money-laundering penalty. Excluding the fine, earnings per share rose 4% to $1.08, while net interest income grew by about $1.2 billion.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 0%
- Operator
- Operator 23%
- Investor
- Investor 77%
Reality
- Evidence85
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence82
JPMorgan reported third-quarter EPS of $5.57 and said it would have been $5.75 without a $658 million securities loss. Quartz cites a Bloomberg consensus of $5.75 and Yahoo Finance $5.90, so the loss explains the miss in full or only in part.
Perspective Coverage
11 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 11%
- Operator
- Operator 27%
- Investor
- Investor 62%
Reality
- Evidence78
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives35
- Confidence72
Bank of America paid a $1.21 billion penalty to three Treasury bureaus in the third quarter, CEO Brian Moynihan said. Regulator-required remediation continues, and Jefferies' David Chiaverini calls the consent order's duration the key debate.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence60
State Street's wealth-services unit signs an unnamed RIA as its first client within a month
State Street signed the first client of its wealth-services unit, an unnamed RIA its CEO calls one of the largest in the US, a month after launch. One undisclosed client is thin evidence that rival custody banks are bidding for the same advisors.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence65
Goldman Sachs leads a $22bn equity trading quarter at the six biggest US banks
Wall Street's six largest banks booked a combined $22bn in third-quarter equity trading revenue, City AM reported. Goldman Sachs led with a 72% rise to $6.4bn on volatility and hedge-fund borrowing, and its chief executive says the peak is hard to call.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo report third-quarter results Tuesday, with Morgan Stanley and Bank of America following Wednesday. Oppenheimer has cut its investment banking revenue estimate by 9.5%, and a bank ETF is down 7.7% in a month, according to The Daily Upside.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 4%
- Operator
- Operator 22%
- Investor
- Investor 74%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives40
- Confidence62
Citi's 'above 11%' full-year return guide is met by a fourth quarter near 6.2% on simple averaging of the 12.6% nine-month figure. Truist's John McDonald calls it caution, so fourth-quarter markets revenue decides which reading holds.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence66
Wells Fargo earned $5.95 billion in the third quarter with net charge-offs of $983 million, below analyst estimates. Credit is the stronger half of the quarter: the earnings beat was 2 to 3 cents a share and net interest income missed consensus.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 0%
- Operator
- Operator 34%
- Investor
- Investor 66%
Reality
- Evidence80
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence78
Bitcoin climbed 3.1% off an $80,948 low by midday as the chip index fell for a fifth session
Bitcoin traded near $83,445 at midday Tuesday, up 3.1% from an $80,948 low after a liquidation wave. Wednesday's inflation report is the next test of whether JPMorgan's miss and the chip selloff drove the swing or leveraged positioning did.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
JPMorgan's wealth arm added about $850 million of revenue in a quarter its fixed-income earnings fell 4%
JPMorgan's asset and wealth division grew revenue 14% to $6.9 billion in the third quarter as fixed-income trading fell for the first time in two years. Wealth revenue grew 12% to 15% at three other banks, yet record equities trading and a higher interest-income outlook also offset the bond weakness.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence66
Deposit costs will decide how much of the Fed's September hike banks get to keep
JPMorganChase opens third-quarter bank earnings on Tuesday, the first results since the Fed's 25-basis-point hike in September. Deposit costs will show how much of that hike banks are handing back to depositors to keep their balances.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
Finance executives bought their own stock at the slowest pace in VerityData's records
Just 298 financial-sector insiders bought stock in their own companies in the third quarter, the fewest in VerityData's records back to 2004. With bank results close, the evidence best fits executives who think their own shares are expensive at today's prices.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives40
- Confidence50