OpenAI's $50 Billion Revenue Figure Reported as Oracle, AMD and TSMC Shares Fall
OpenAI told investors its annualized revenue was about $50 billion at the end of September, short of the $68 billion to $70 billion reported last month. Oracle and OpenAI's chip suppliers fell 3% to 6% on Thursday on the strength of a private company's investor deck.
The Investor · Invest desk

What happened
- A person familiar with the matter told CNBC that the $68 billion figure counted gross revenue from OpenAI's partners, to allow a closer comparison with Anthropic.
- Yahoo Finance, citing the FT, said investors built the larger number by adding OpenAI's reported 70% growth to their own $40 billion estimate for August.
- OpenAI is in early talks on a new round of around $30 billion, with no term sheet, after closing a $122 billion round in March.
Why it matters
- What it costs cost Measured against $50 billion, OpenAI's $852 billion valuation is 17 times annualized revenue instead of 12.5 times, a steeper multiple for backers of the roughly $30 billion round.
- What doesn't add up contradiction Dow Jones's account of the FT puts the $70 billion figure in OpenAI's own investor materials while Yahoo's blames investor modelling, so it is unsettled whose credibility took the damage.
- Who's exposed exposure With Sam Altman ruling out a 2026 listing, Oracle, AMD, Broadcom and TSMC shareholders will keep pricing their exposure to OpenAI off investor decks relayed by unnamed sources.
Next story · Leadership · Oct 9
Cloud-partner counting rules open a $20bn gap in OpenAI's revenue forecastConfirmed6 publishers
Yahoo Finance's account of the FT story builds the larger figure from two inputs [25]. Investors estimated that OpenAI's sales had reached a $40 billion annual pace in August. They then applied the 70% growth OpenAI later reported [25]. Grown by 70%, $40 billion becomes $68 billion [26]. The growth, though, was measured from the start of the third quarter [15], so stacking it on an August base counts part of the quarter twice. Run backward from $50 billion, the 77% third-quarter growth in the latest presentation implies a run rate of about $28 billion when the quarter opened [14][21].
CNBC's source described another construction. In that version the $68 billion included gross revenue from OpenAI's partners, so it could be set beside Anthropic's figure [3]. The reports also split on authorship. The FT, as relayed by Dow Jones, said information OpenAI itself shared with investors last month indicated roughly $70 billion [2]. Yahoo's version of the same story calls the swing an investor miscalculation [25]. OpenAI declined to comment to the FT [8].
The selling was uneven. By midday Celestica was down 5.9%, Oracle 4.9% and Micron 4.3% [5][6]. Broadcom, which is collaborating with OpenAI on a custom chip, lost 3.2% [6]. Microsoft slipped 1.2% [5]. The Nasdaq was off 1.4% in afternoon trading, with oil and Treasury yields also weighing [7]. The readings come from different hours, but on them Microsoft moved with the index while Celestica fell about four times as far [19].
OpenAI's backers also have its 2025 accounts. The company lost $38.5 billion that year on $13.07 billion of revenue, about $2.95 for each dollar sold [16][23]. It is in early talks on a round of around $30 billion with no term sheet, after closing $122 billion in March [11]. Chief financial officer Sarah Friar told CNBC last week that OpenAI is still "very well capitalized" [12].
The record supports more than one outcome. I think the likeliest is that only a definition changed: the $18 billion between $68 billion and $50 billion is what counting partner revenue at gross added, and Quartz, relaying CNBC, said no sales were lost [17][4]. A second reading has OpenAI handing investors the $70 billion figure itself, as the Dow Jones account has it [2]. In that case the cost shows up in the terms of the next round. The third is worst for OpenAI. Yahoo set OpenAI's $50 billion against Anthropic's $65 billion, a $15 billion deficit, while noting the two firms calculate annualized revenue differently [13][22]. If Anthropic counts gross, as CNBC's source implied, OpenAI's comparable $68 billion leads by $3 billion [3][20].
Yahoo Finance said Anthropic's public S-1 is expected any day, with a listing rumored before Thanksgiving [18]. It is the first public document that can show which basis Anthropic uses. If its $65 billion turns out to be net of partners, Thursday's selloff priced a real competitive gap and the first reading is wrong.
What to watch
- Terms of OpenAI's roughly $30 billion round once a term sheet exists, and whether it holds the $852 billion valuation.
- Whether Celestica, Oracle and Micron close their gap to the Nasdaq before OpenAI shares another revenue figure.
- Whether OpenAI's public prospectus for a 2027 listing reports run rate with partner revenue counted at gross or net.
Information, not investment advice. This story is general information about companies and markets, drawn from cited reporting. It is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security; check the cited sources before acting.
Clarity's read
What the record supports and how the coverage leans. The claims behind it follow.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption70
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives70
- Confidence60
Perspective Coverage
28 publishers- Builder
- Builder 11%
- Operator
- Operator 12%
- Investor
- Investor 77%
Claim ledger
Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.
- [1]
The Financial Times reported that OpenAI said its revenues were approaching $50 billion on an annualized basis toward the end of last month, citing financial documents shared with investors.
- [2]
Earlier information OpenAI shared with investors last month indicated roughly $70 billion in annualized revenue, the FT reported; the discrepancy stemmed from OpenAI's effort to produce a figure comparable with Anthropic's, according to a person familiar with the matter.
- [3]
OpenAI told investors it hit roughly $50 billion in annualized revenue at the end of September, CNBC confirmed, lower than the $68 billion figure widely reported late last month; a person familiar said the $68 billion included gross revenue from OpenAI's partners, which helps investors make a more direct comparison with Anthropic.
- [4]
The discrepancy between the two revenue figures does not reflect a loss of sales.
- [5]
At midday Thursday Oracle shares were down 4.9% at $136.50, Microsoft down 1.2% at $523.29 and Micron down 4.3%.
- [6]
Celestica fell 5.9% to $349.69, AMD 3.3% to $624.65, Broadcom, which is collaborating with OpenAI on a custom chip, 3.2% to $364.58, and TSMC 3.3% to $456.79.
- [7]
The Nasdaq was down 1.4% in afternoon trading Thursday, with rising oil prices and Treasury yields also weighing on stocks.
- [8]
OpenAI declined to comment to the Financial Times.
- [9]
OpenAI's valuation is $852 billion; it confidentially filed its prospectus with regulators in June and executives have signaled a 2027 debut.
- [10]
Chief Executive Officer Sam Altman has ruled out a 2026 listing.
- [11]
OpenAI is in early-stage discussions about a new round that could raise around $30 billion, a figure that could change; no term sheet has been finalized; OpenAI closed a $122 billion round in March.
- [12]
CFO Sarah Friar told CNBC last week that OpenAI is still "very well capitalized."
- [13]
At $50 billion, OpenAI's annualized revenue would fall below Anthropic's $65 billion in annualized sales; OpenAI and Anthropic calculate annualized revenue differently.
- [14]
OpenAI's investor presentation touted 77% total run rate growth during its third quarter and 107% run rate growth for its enterprise business.
- [15]
OpenAI told investors late last month that its annualized revenue run rate had climbed by more than 70% since the third quarter began.
- [16]
OpenAI posted a net loss of $38.5 billion in 2025 on $13.07 billion in revenue.
- [17]
The gap to $50 billion is $18 billion from the $68 billion figure and $20 billion from the $70 billion figure.
- [18]
Anthropic is rumored to list before Thanksgiving, with its public S-1 prospectus expected any day.
- [19]
Celestica's 5.9% midday fall was about 4.2 times the Nasdaq's 1.4% afternoon decline, while Microsoft's 1.2% fall was close to the index move; the readings were taken at different times.
- [20]
On the gross basis, OpenAI's $68 billion exceeds Anthropic's $65 billion by $3 billion.
- [21]
A $50 billion run rate after 77% growth in the quarter implies a run rate of about $28 billion at the start of the third quarter.
- [22]
At $50 billion, OpenAI trails Anthropic's $65 billion by $15 billion.
- [23]
OpenAI lost about $2.95 for each dollar of 2025 revenue.
- [24]
OpenAI's $852 billion valuation is about 17 times a $50 billion run rate and about 12.5 times a $68 billion run rate.
- [25]
According to the FT as reported by Yahoo Finance, the swing resulted from investor miscalculations: investors tried to determine whether OpenAI's sales reached $40 billion in August, then added OpenAI's reported 70% growth to that estimate and landed on $70 billion.
- [26]
A $40 billion run rate grown by 70% equals $68 billion.
Sources
24 independent publishers whose own reporting we read for this story.
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- the Financial Times, as reported by Reuters
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Topics and entities
Topics
- AI IPO Pipeline
- AI infrastructure stocks
- Annualized revenue reporting
Entities
- OpenAI
- CoreWeave
- Nvidia
- Sam Altman
- Oracle
- Broadcom
- Sarah Friar
- Anthropic
- Advanced Micro Devices
- Financial Times