LLM researchers put the price of unmasking a Hacker News pseudonym at $1 to $4
Researchers from ETH Zurich, MATS and Anthropic matched 226 of 338 pseudonymous Hacker News users to LinkedIn profiles at 90% precision for $1 to $4 each. The price holds up better than the hit rate, since every test subject had already linked a real profile.
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What happened
- The agent got 25 identifications wrong and declined to answer on 86, so about nine in ten of the names it did give were right.
- Four stages, Extract, Search, Reason and Calibrate, narrow up to 89,000 candidates to a shortlist before a reasoning model picks a match or abstains.
- On transcripts of Anthropic's interviews with 125 scientists, the approach identified at least 9 people from how they described their work.
- Code, prompts and every real identity found were withheld by the authors, and ETH Zurich's ethics board reviewed the study before release.
Why it matters
- What it costs cost A correct name on the Hacker News test costs an attacker between $1.50 and about $6, and Lermen expects that price to keep falling.
- What doesn't add up contradiction The two-in-three hit rate applies to posters who had already published a real profile; on Anthropic's interview transcripts the rate was about 7%, so exposure depends heavily on the population.
- What it limits constraint Model providers cannot stop the attack by switching off one capability, the researchers argue, because it chains ordinary search, summary and reasoning tasks.
- Who's exposed exposure Pseudonymous posters who mention a job, a place or a habit of phrasing become reachable by the actors the authors name: governments pursuing journalists and scammers building dossiers.
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On the source's own counts, 226 correct calls against 25 wrong ones is 226 out of 251 answers, or 90.0% [10]. Against the full 338 it is 66.9% [11], and the difference is the 86 accounts the pipeline declined to name [2]. The Calibrate stage is built to abstain when the model is not certain, to keep false positives down [5]. (The three outcomes Cryptopolitan reported sum to 337, one short of the test group [20].)
At the top of the quoted price range, running all 338 profiles would cost $1,352, and at the bottom $338 [18]. Both fit within the under-$2,000 total the researchers reported for all their experiments [4]. Spread across 226 correct names, that is between $1.50 and about $6 a name [19]. The inputs are web search, embeddings and a reasoning model such as GPT-5.2, with no breached data involved [6]. "The combination is often a unique fingerprint," Lermen wrote in a February 24 blog post [13]. He added, according to Cryptopolitan, that the cost is only going down [14].
The hit rate is less solid than the price. The paper says its results show "the practical obscurity protecting pseudonymous users online no longer holds" [8]. Every one of the 338, though, had a bio pointing to a LinkedIn page, and the researchers stripped the identifying details before the agent searched, according to Decrypt [3]. The published tests do not show a two-in-three rate on accounts whose owners never tied a handle to a real profile. On transcripts from Anthropic's interviews with 125 scientists, the agent identified at least 9 [12], or about 7% [21].
There are three ways to read the distance between 67% and 7%. One is that the Hacker News figure is near a ceiling, set by people who keep a LinkedIn page and post about their work. Another is that any rate belongs to the authors' own build, since they withheld code and prompts [7], and a copycat starts from a written description. The third, or rather the one that matters to anyone pricing the risk, is that at $1 to $4 an attempt even the interview test's rate puts a correct name at roughly $14 to $56 [22].
I think the third reading holds. The authors name governments targeting journalists and activists, and scammers building dossiers for social-engineering pitches, among the likely users [17]. For either, $56 a name is small. The researchers also argue there is no single switch a model provider can disable, only a chain of individually harmless-looking tasks [16]. Classical non-LLM baselines came close to zero in the larger matching tests [15], and the 2008 Netflix re-identification needed structured ratings data [9]. This pipeline works from comments.
I would be wrong if a replication on accounts with no self-link finds hit rates near zero. At a 1% rate and $4 an attempt, a correct name costs $400 [23].
What to watch
- A replication on pseudonymous accounts with no self-linked profile, and the hit rate and per-attempt cost it reports.
- A public reimplementation built from the paper's description, given that the authors withheld code and prompts.
- Any move by model providers to detect or refuse chained identification tasks at the matching and reasoning steps.
Information, not investment advice. This story is general information about companies and markets, drawn from cited reporting. It is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security; check the cited sources before acting.
Clarity's read
What the record supports and how the coverage leans. The claims behind it follow.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence60
Claim ledger
Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.
- [1]
An LLM pipeline built by researchers at ETH Zurich, MATS and Anthropic linked 226 of 338 pseudonymous Hacker News users to their LinkedIn profiles at 90% precision.
- [2]
Fed only comments and submissions, the agent called 226 correctly, got 25 calls wrong and passed on 86 accounts.
- [3]
The team gathered 338 Hacker News users who had linked their LinkedIn profile in their bio, stripped out anything identifying, then asked an AI agent to figure out who they were using nothing but web search.
- [4]
Unmasking one profile costs $1 to $4; the experiments cost less than $2,000 in total.
- [5]
The attack has four stages, Extract, Search, Reason and Calibrate; semantic embeddings narrow a pool of up to 89,000 candidates to a shortlist, a reasoning model grades the best matches, and the Calibrate step makes the pipeline abstain if not certain, reducing false positives.
- [6]
The pipeline runs on off-the-shelf tools: web search, embeddings and models such as GPT-5.2; no stolen data or hacked server is involved.
- [7]
The researchers did not release the code, prompts or any real identities turned up by the system; the study was reviewed by the ETH Zurich ethics board before release.
- [8]
"Our results show that the practical obscurity protecting pseudonymous users online no longer holds and that threat models for online privacy need to be reconsidered," the paper reads.
- [9]
Previous deanonymization attacks, such as the 2008 re-identification of anonymized Netflix ratings, relied on structured data.
- [10]
Precision on answered calls: 226 correct out of 251 answers is 90.0%.
- [11]
Share of the full test group correctly identified: 66.9%.
- [12]
In a separate test on transcripts from Anthropic's own interview research with 125 scientists, the AI correctly identified at least 9 people from how they described their work.
- [13]
"The combination is often a unique fingerprint," Lermen wrote in a February 24 blog post.
- [14]
Lermen added that if a team of smart investigators could identify someone from their posts, LLM agents likely can too, and the cost is only going down.
- [15]
Classical non-LLM baselines got close to zero in the paper's larger matching tests.
- [16]
The researchers argue the attack is hard to block because there is no single 'deanonymize this person' switch to disable, just a chain of individually harmless-looking tasks.
- [17]
The authors cite governments targeting journalists or activists, companies producing sharper ad profiles, and scammers building dossiers for social-engineering pitches.
- [18]
Running all 338 profiles would cost $338 at $1 each and $1,352 at $4 each.
- [19]
Cost per correct identification on the Hacker News test is about $1.50 to $6.
- [20]
The reported outcomes (226 correct, 25 wrong, 86 abstentions) sum to 337, one fewer than the 338 users tested.
- [21]
The interview-transcript test identified about 7% of subjects.
- [22]
Assuming each attempt costs the same $1 to $4, a 7.2% hit rate puts a correct name at roughly $14 to $56.
- [23]
Hypothetically, at a 1% hit rate and $4 per attempt, a correct name would cost $400.
Sources
2 independent publishers whose own reporting we read for this story.
- cryptopolitan.comETH Zurich and Anthropic study finds LLMs can unmask anonymous accounts for a few dollars each
1 article · September 25, 2026
- decrypt.coAI Can Now Doxx Your Anonymous Accounts? Here's What’s Going On
1 article · September 24, 2026
Topics and entities
Topics
- LLM deanonymization
- AI misuse research
Entities
- Nicholas Carlini
- ETH Zürich
- Hacker News
- GPT-5.2
- USENIX Security Symposium
- Anthropic