The UK's national meteorological service, providing weather forecasts, climate data and severe weather warnings for Britain.
South East, Southern and South West Water have applied for bans on non-essential water use that could reach golf clubs, private schools and car washes. Reservoirs stand at 54%, 21% below the autumn norm, and Defra has not yet replied.
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Met Office issues a yellow wind warning for the Highlands and Western Isles, with gusts up to 70mph possible, as Isaias remnants feed a new Atlantic low. BBC Weather's forecast keeps the low's centre hundreds of miles offshore, with most of England and Wales dry and warmer than average.
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Natural Resources Wales says 27% of eligible properties are signed up for flood warnings, although one in seven Welsh properties is at risk. It cites long-range forecasts of a wetter, windier autumn than usual.
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South West cereal harvests fell at least 30% in the 2026 drought, according to the NFU in Wiltshire, against an 11% drop in UK wheat output. Dairy farms kept milk flowing by paying for feed and opening winter silage early, so the cost has so far landed on farm accounts.
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UK polling shows 74% of people now say they have directly experienced extreme heat, up from 46% before the record 2026 summer. Concern rose sharply, but support for specific climate policies moved only a few points.
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Indonesia's fires grew roughly fourfold after June as the strongest El Niño on record began forming, with emissions on track to match 2015. The event is still strengthening on 1.4C of warming, and the year's outlook leans on a short record of past El Niños.
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UK climate minister Katie White says a record El Niño leaves the food system vulnerable to the warm, wet, stormy winter the Met Office forecasts. Muddy fields could stop winter wheat being sown, just after the UK's worst-ever harvest.
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Google DeepMind's WeatherNext Cyclones gives hurricane forecasters about an extra day of accuracy on average, according to a Nature study of past storms. So far it has one live season on record, and that season is what forecasters will lean on when the next storm strengthens fast.
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Operation Blue Skies will spend 30 months testing whether Google's contrail predictions are good enough for NATS controllers to shift aircraft 2,000ft over the North Atlantic.
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Copernicus logged 21.10 C on Aug. 22, one hundredth of a degree above March 2024. The timing, not the margin, is what should move planning assumptions.
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The Met Office's Julian Heming credits this year's record El Nino for the ocean heat beneath the storm. Rapid intensification happens several times a year worldwide, and the two published accounts differ on Polo's peak winds.
Perspective Coverage
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The probability describes a ranking of Pacific ocean temperature, and the December peak it points to arrives for Southeast Asian governments that have already been drawing down reserves to cover energy and fertilizer.
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The Department for Transport's share of the £7.8bn plan pays for low Earth orbit capacity to cut signal dropouts on trains by 2030. The plan does not name a service provider, and the date repeats one the rail minister gave in May.
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The delivery annex gives every programme a budget, an owning body and a financial year between 2026/27 and 2029/30, and its biggest line is £2.3bn for the military satellite communications work the projects authority rated red in July.
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Google's satellite analysis puts the avoided warming at about 40%, with more than half of it coming from the Hong Kong to Singapore corridor, which is a better guide to where this pays than the trial's ultra-long-haul billing.
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The Met Office will commit to the sign of the disruption, not its address. The rice loss is already booked to a marketing year that begins after the event ends.
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The forecast signal is stronger than anything in the record since 1950. The observation underneath it is 1.4C, and that gap is the part worth watching.
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Copernicus says the emissions match previous major El Nino years for the date. The 1997 analogue reached 2.5 gigatonnes of CO2, roughly four months of global fossil fuel burning at then-current rates.
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The Met Office expects the tropical Pacific above 3C in November, and one aggregated forecast says 3.9C. The global temperature consequence lands in 2027, which is still a planning cycle away.
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Buckled rail, record-low rivers and disrupted power and water are no longer tail risk. NASA's account of May to August 2026 reads like a description of normal service.
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Invest · August 15, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers