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Lookonchain

Lookonchain is a social media account that tracks and reports on blockchain wallet activity, flagging large crypto transfers and suspicious on-chain movements.

Known aliases

  • @lookonchain

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Onchain trackers trace nearly a fifth of Hut 8's bitcoin stack to trading venues in a week

A Hut 8-linked wallet sent 1,966 BTC, about $161 million, to exchanges and OTC desks in seven days, Bitcoin News reported. Hut 8 has not explained the moves, and onchain data cannot show whether the coins were sold.

Publishers:news.bitcoin.com

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
investConfirmed5 publishers

SkyAI sells half its Solana treasury to fund a premium buyback of its own stock

SkyAI, a Nasdaq-listed Solana treasury company, sold about 1 million SOL to help fund a $201 million tender at $3 a share. Ember's estimates imply sales near $110 a coin, against a purchase cost Lookonchain puts at $194.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 28%
Investor
Investor 67%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives68
Confidence60
investConfirmed4 publishers

A wallet that received bitcoin in March 2020 sends $378M to five addresses

A bitcoin wallet that has held coins since March 2020 sent 4,582 BTC, worth $377.6 million, to five addresses, and none has moved them. CryptoQuant's Darkfost reported negative Coinbase premiums with bitcoin near $83,000, so the move invites a selling read that no on-chain sale yet confirms.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 7%
Operator
Operator 19%
Investor
Investor 74%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence72
investConfirmed9 publishers

Bitmine caps its ether holdings at 5% of supply with about $200 million of buying left

Bitmine Immersion Technologies will stop buying ether at 5% of supply, a cap that leaves it about $200 million of purchases at Wednesday's price. For ether's flows, that limit matters more than Tom Lee's bull call, because one of the token's steadiest buyers is close to done.

Perspective Coverage

9 publishers
Builder
Builder 6%
Operator
Operator 21%
Investor
Investor 73%

Reality

Evidence78
Adoption45
Hype gap+25
Incentives72
Confidence70
investOne report1 publisher

Hyperliquid whale rebuilds its ether long 8% above the next forced sale

One Hyperliquid whale lost 28,716 ETH, worth $69.69 million, to forced liquidation on Oct. 9, then posted 10 million USDC of fresh margin within half an hour. Its rebuilt 78,955 ETH long now liquidates about 8% below the market, Bitcoin.com News reported, at prices anyone can see.

Publishers:news.bitcoin.com

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investConfirmed2 publishers

MARA's filings show a bigger bitcoin drawdown than the $81m transfer that triggered sale talk

MARA Holdings moved 996 bitcoin worth about $81m to Galaxy Digital on October 9, a transfer the analytics firm Lookonchain flagged as a possible sale. The on-chain data cannot confirm a sale, and MARA's filings already show its treasury fell to 35,577 bitcoin from 49,951 a year earlier.

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives55
Confidence55
investConfirmed6 publishers

US government wallets send 833 bitcoin to Coinbase Prime in their first move since August

US government wallets sent 833.6 BTC, worth about $71.6 million, toward Coinbase Prime on Oct. 7, roughly 0.26% of the bitcoin they still hold. The risk that the stash comes to market depends far more on the executive orders limiting sales of reserve bitcoin than on transfers this small.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 7%
Operator
Operator 36%
Investor
Investor 57%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence62
investConfirmed5 publishers

Bitcoin traders add $1.1 billion in open interest hours after a $550 million long flush

Bitcoin open interest rose from $54.2 billion to $55.3 billion in six hours after a dip to $83,560 liquidated about $550 million of crypto longs. Traders re-levered at the lows, leaving bitcoin inside a 3.4% band between its $83,850 21-day average and the $86,700 close Rekt Capital wants to see.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 3%
Operator
Operator 9%
Investor
Investor 88%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+28
Incentives25
Confidence60
productConfirmed3 publishers

Bitget's own approval process moved out $388 million on spoofed transaction data

Bitget says attackers took over a wallet backend system and fed its authorization process spoofed data, moving out $387.5 million without stolen keys. For teams running payouts, the data an approver trusts now belongs on the same review list as the keys.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 23%
Operator
Operator 40%
Investor
Investor 37%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+18
Incentives62
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

Pump.fun's latest SOL sale cleared about $121 a coin, a quarter below its earlier average

Pump.fun sold 47,994 SOL for $5.83 million, about $121 a coin, taking its cumulative SOL sales past $848 million. At that price it needs about a third more SOL per dollar raised than at its earlier average of roughly $164.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
investConfirmed5 publishers

Cronos halted its own chain to keep $60M of the Tectonic drain within reach

An attacker pumped TONIC roughly 100x in twenty minutes and borrowed against it, which is the 2022 Mango playbook run again, and the only reason most of the money stayed reachable is a validator cap of 100.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 32%
Operator
Operator 37%
Investor
Investor 31%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption40
Hype gap+10
Incentives35
Confidence60
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Bitget says spoofed backend data drained $351.6 million from its hot and warm wallets

Bitget lost about $351.6 million from its hot and warm wallets after attackers spoofed transaction data in a backend system, the exchange said. Cold storage held and a $464 million fund covers the loss, while about 45% of the haul is native XRP that no one can freeze.

Publishers:news.bitcoin.com

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives65
Confidence58
investOne report1 publisher

Marathon's $98.6M September Buy Replaces About 6% of the Bitcoin It Sold in Q1

Lookonchain spotted 1,292 coins moving to Marathon through FalconX on September 15. With a 1,000-coin purchase in June, the miner has bought back 2,292 of the 20,880 it sold for $1.5 billion, at a higher price.

Reality

Evidence38
Adoption24
Hype gap+30
Incentives62
Confidence34
investOne report1 publisher

Hunter Biden's launch post disclaims the exact promise that would make LAPTOP a security

Arkham marked $144bn of fully diluted value two minutes after LAPTOP launched and $5bn at the half hour, and with the SEC's February meme-coin statement in force, the only cops left for the buyers are fraud cops.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption40
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

One June transfer moved more Bitcoin than Bhutan's sovereign fund now has labeled

Druk Holding's labeled wallets hold 518 BTC, down from 13,000, and at the price implied by the latest transfer that remainder is worth under $40mn, which is a ceiling on any state supply pressure still to come.

Reality

Evidence38
Adoption35
Hype gap+22
Incentives55
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Fifteen wallets turned $18,657 into $330,000 on a borrowed Trump endorsement

The $GOLD tokens sold for about 17 times what they cost, but the number that explains the trade is the supply behind them: 82.45% sat in fifteen wallets and a developer bag, and only $330,000 found a buyer.

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption24
Hype gap+38
Incentives58
Confidence44

Earlier coverage