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Company

Bitnomial

Bitnomial Exchange is a CFTC-regulated US derivatives exchange and clearinghouse offering futures contracts, including on bitcoin.

Known aliases

  • Bitnomial Clearinghouse
  • Bitnomial Exchange
  • Bitnomial Exchange, LLC

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Aptos token unlocks still outpace staking mints nearly threefold after insider vesting ends

Aptos ends its four-year insider vesting on Oct. 12, cutting scheduled monthly APT releases about 60%, from 11.31 million tokens to 4.54 million. Every scheduled token from then goes to the Community and Foundation pools, so Foundation grant spending now sets most of the pace at which new APT reaches the market.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption45
Hype gap+15
Incentives60
Confidence55
investConfirmed2 publishers

Wells Fargo seeks crypto trading liquidity from Kraken parent Payward

Wells Fargo is in talks to source crypto trading liquidity from Payward, the $21 billion Kraken parent, two people told CoinDesk. A signed contract would let the bank offer crypto execution without building trading infrastructure and would put bank revenue behind Payward's price.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 20%
Operator
Operator 38%
Investor
Investor 42%

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption25
Hype gap+20
Incentives55
Confidence50
investConfirmed2 publishers

MAS places Hyperliquid's Singapore-headquartered venue outside its jurisdiction

Hyperliquid Labs confirmed its headquarters is in Singapore, while MAS says the decentralized derivatives venue sits outside its jurisdiction. Its traders rely on self-custody for protection, and Payward's plan for regulated Hyperliquid-based markets for eligible US customers still needs approval, crypto.news reported.

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption35
Hype gap+10
Incentives55
Confidence62
investConfirmed14 publishers

CFTC proposes a narrower crypto exchange license built on its power over leveraged trades

CFTC proposed two crypto rules creating a narrower exchange license for leveraged, margined and financed trades, open to comment for 60 days. Plain spot trading falls outside the CFTC's authority, and officials say they cannot yet size that leftover market.

Perspective Coverage

17 publishers
Builder
Builder 13%
Operator
Operator 48%
Investor
Investor 39%

Reality

Evidence78
Adoption8
Hype gap+25
Incentives62
Confidence72
investConfirmed3 publishers

Bloomberg Terminal now streams prices from Hyperliquid's $18 billion perpetuals market around the clock

Bloomberg has added 24-hour streaming prices for select Hyperliquid perpetuals, from a venue whose open interest crossed $18 billion in September. Desks can watch on-chain S&P 500 and crude prices beside the cash markets, but every trade still happens off the Terminal.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 17%
Operator
Operator 35%
Investor
Investor 48%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption35
Hype gap+30
Incentives55
Confidence65
investOne report1 publisher

Bitcoin's rebound on US crypto rules still leaves it 2.5% below its yearly open

Bitcoin twice topped $86,000 on Tuesday after the CFTC floated crypto rules, then slipped to $85,500, about 2.5% below its $87,722 yearly open. Liquidations shrank to $30 million on the day, so a quiet derivatives market goes into the upcoming consumer price report.

Publishers:news.bitcoin.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

CFTC staff give Coinbase Derivatives and Bitnomial 18 days to turn 38 crypto futures into true perpetuals

CFTC staff let Coinbase Derivatives and Bitnomial strip expiry dates from 38 crypto futures, under relief that lapses on June 30. Only contracts on assets with deep spot markets qualify, so the underlying assets decide how many of the 38 convert.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence38
investConfirmed3 publishers

BNY talks to Kraken parent Payward about an infrastructure deal on the Nasdaq model

BNY is in talks with Kraken parent Payward, valued at $21 billion when Nasdaq invested, over a custody, trading and payments partnership, CoinDesk reported. Nothing is signed. One source compares the talks to the infrastructure half of Payward's Nasdaq agreement.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 24%
Operator
Operator 40%
Investor
Investor 36%

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption15
Hype gap+10
Incentives55
Confidence50
investConfirmed6 publishers

Coinbase's new clearinghouse stops short of the leveraged contracts that dominate crypto volume

Coinbase won CFTC registration for its own clearinghouse on September 28, ten months after applying, covering only fully collateralized contracts. Its margined book and planned stock perpetuals still clear through partners, so the leveraged trading that dominates crypto volume stays outside.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 23%
Operator
Operator 39%
Investor
Investor 38%

Reality

Evidence80
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives60
Confidence75
investConfirmed4 publishers

Payward turns Bitnomial's decade of licenses into an onshore wrapper for Hyperliquid

Selected Hyperliquid perpetuals would trade inside a CFTC-regulated venue Payward bought for as much as $550 million, which is about 14% of one day of Hyperliquid volume. The contract list is the product.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 11%
Operator
Operator 38%
Investor
Investor 51%

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption12
Hype gap+25
Incentives65
Confidence55
investConfirmed8 publishers

Nasdaq's $100m takes about 0.48% of Kraken's parent at a mark 58% above Deutsche Boerse's April entry

The cheque is small enough to read as a partnership fee, and it arrives with a surveillance contract, a 2027 token launch date, and a quarter in which Payward's adjusted EBITDA fell to $23m on $508m of revenue.

Perspective Coverage

8 publishers
Builder
Builder 14%
Operator
Operator 42%
Investor
Investor 44%

Reality

Evidence66
Adoption22
Hype gap+40
Incentives72
Confidence62
investConfirmed3 publishers

Kalshi and Coinbase filed near-identical US stock perpetual futures on the same day

Both venues want cash-settled contracts on the largest US listings, with funding payments in place of an expiry date, and because the underlyings are securities the products need the SEC as well as the CFTC.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 20%
Operator
Operator 38%
Investor
Investor 42%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption3
Hype gap+12
Incentives45
Confidence64
investOne report1 publisher

Arkham traces $30M of North Korean bitcoin through the exchange Washington wants inside its perimeter

Payward's Bitnomial filing answers the market-structure question the CFTC already knows how to answer. The open item is the screening of a permissionless order book, and no answer to that question exists yet.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption45
Hype gap+45
Incentives72
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Kraken Bought Its Way Out of the Exchange Business for $2.75B

Four deals in sixteen months put Payward into regulated futures, retail FX, listed derivatives and stablecoin payment rails. The competitive set is no longer spot crypto venues.

Reality

Evidence33
Adoption52
Hype gap+32
Incentives68
Confidence40