Hanwha Systems' laser weapons intercepted all three target drones at a South Korean Army exercise on October 14. The 50 kW vehicle it is offering for export is still in development, and no export order has been announced.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives75
- Confidence60
North Korea launched toward the East Sea on Oct. 12, nine days after its Oct. 3 test, South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff said. Seoul was still analyzing the projectiles, so a case for pricing lasting Korea and Japan risk rests on frequency alone for now.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives55
- Confidence58
South Korea flew its first homegrown hypersonic glide vehicle, built for at least Mach 5, as President Lee Jae-myung watched. On the one production estimate published, the orders it implies for Korean missile makers arrive in the 2030s.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 36%
- Operator
- Operator 44%
- Investor
- Investor 20%
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives65
- Confidence60
Korea's home-built substitute for US CEC will leave out its Aegis destroyers
US Navy has refused for more than two years to sell Korea Cooperative Engagement Capability, a network Japan's and Australia's Aegis ships already carry. Seoul is instead building a domestic network for its newer warships, so its fleet will run on two systems.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
Korea's Cheongwang laser, now 90% local, runs at a quarter of HELIOS's peak power
South Korea's Hanwha Systems-built Cheongwang laser downed two of four drones at its public debut, at 10,000 to 20,000 won of electricity a shot. Its 30-kilowatt Block I is rated for small North Korean drones at two to three kilometres, a narrower job than the US and Chinese lasers it is measured against.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
DAPA hands the defense research agency it owns an institutional warning over 21 audit findings
South Korean contractors say the Agency for Defense Development now manages programs instead of researching. Its parent buyer audited it for three months, found 21 problems, and says it used the exercise to examine ADD's role.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives72
- Confidence52
Korea spreads a $1.4 billion missile award across roughly twelve years of development
Seoul plans to pick one of two bidders in October for a domestically built long-range air-to-air missile that will not reach the KF-21 until the late 2030s. The winner takes the seeker and ramjet work with it.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives70
- Confidence47