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Topic

Wildfire Risk

The likelihood and severity of fires igniting and spreading across landscapes, shaped by drought, heat, fuel buildup, and land management policy.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

Cropland is less likely than forest or wildland to end up inside a Western burn scar

A study co-led by DRI's Bea Gordon finds cropland 1.3 to 5 times more associated with where nearly 10,000 Western fires stopped than other land types. Its authors want drought plans that idle irrigated land to count the lost buffer, though the moisture explanation is a proposal.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Supreme Court weighs whether Boulder can make ExxonMobil and Suncor pay for climate damage

Supreme Court justices hear Boulder's suit against ExxonMobil and Suncor on Monday, a case that could settle dozens of similar local climate claims. At issue for producers is whether climate costs get fought jurisdiction by jurisdiction in state courts or left to federal regulators.

Publishers:abcnews.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+5
Incentives62
Confidence50
scienceConfirmed3 publishers

USDA files to rescind the Roadless Rule, and its fire rationale runs against the ignition data

The proposal would open more than 44 million acres of national forest to roads and logging on a wildfire-risk argument that published ignition studies do not support.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 17%
Operator
Operator 67%
Investor
Investor 16%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives60
Confidence68
scienceOne report1 publisher

Pantheon Regeneration bets credit buyers will fund rewetting 23 square miles of Carolina peat

Ditches dug decades ago for a farming venture that was abandoned leave the tract emitting 130,000 tons of carbon dioxide a year. The plan to plug them rests on credit buyers whose price nobody has published.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence57
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives72
Confidence47
scienceOne report1 publisher

"Snow eaters" get a threshold: three to five days above freezing, day and night

A Science Advances study defines the spring heat waves that strip snowpack and finds they can roughly double melt rates. The affected area in the West has grown by about 40,000 square miles per century.

Publishers:eos.org

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption20
Hype gap+10
Incentives35
Confidence55