CFTC opens comment on a federal crypto venue for retail trades financed with leverage or margin
CFTC's October 5 advance notice seeks comment on a federally registered crypto venue for retail trades made with leverage, margin or financing. Chair Michael Selig says registration is voluntary and a mandate over every spot trade needs Congress.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap−5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence60
CFTC lets exchanges drop expiry dates from index futures that already trade as perpetuals
CFTC staff will let Coinbase Derivatives and other exchanges drop expiry dates from broad-based security index futures under relief that lapses October 20. Coinbase's contracts already priced like perpetuals, so the letter mainly rewrites their legal terms, and the open question is whether any other exchange uses it.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives55
- Confidence40
CFTC staff let U.S. exchanges remove expiry dates from perpetual-style index futures on October 3, with five days' notice to holders of open positions. Contracts on other assets are excluded, so this is a narrow step toward bringing onshore a product that has mostly traded offshore.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives40
- Confidence68
OG.com Markets asked the CFTC to approve cash-settled perpetual futures on single US stocks, trading 24 hours a day on weekdays at a 15.05% minimum margin. At about 6 times leverage they would sell the trade margin accounts now offer, so brokers will pick the winning venue.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives60
- Confidence60
Two filings dated August 18 would import the structure behind an estimated 93% of crypto derivatives volume into equities and metals. Neither is approved, and the book is still small.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
Kalshi Klear asked the CFTC on Sept. 22 to set initial margin on economic, political and commercial event contracts from modeled price moves, backed by volatility floors and concentration charges, with institutions the only participants admitted.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 11%
- Operator
- Operator 37%
- Investor
- Investor 52%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence62
Kalshi explains $5 billion of identical Ether trades as paid-for market making
The company says nearly $5 billion of roughly $5,500 Ether perpetual trades came from programs that pay market makers to post resting orders, and its evidence is that the maker lost money to takers who kept winning.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives78
- Confidence40