Pham says the CFTC can regulate crypto without new laws, citing a statute that excludes onions
Former CFTC acting chair Caroline Pham says the Commodity Exchange Act already gives the agency extensive crypto authority after its October 5 proposal. The CLARITY Act failed to advance in September, so regulators are left with existing powers while lawmakers weigh more legislation.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Andrew Cuomo urged the crypto industry to fund both parties, saying the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate cannot pass without Democrats. Crypto PACs have spent $54.3 million backing Republicans and $26.2 million backing Democrats, Cointelegraph reported, while Kalshi gives Democrats about a 61% chance of winning both chambers.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence62
French Hill, the House Financial Services chair, says SEC and CFTC crypto rules fall short of the CLARITY Act the Senate blocked 49-50 last month. His case is that a later administration can rewrite rules issued under existing agency authority, while a statute would hold.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 20%
- Operator
- Operator 43%
- Investor
- Investor 37%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives62
- Confidence70
A bill that began as a security-or-commodity question now includes a standby power over stablecoin rewards if community banks start losing deposits. The Treasury secretary decides when it fires.
Perspective Coverage
11 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 25%
- Operator
- Operator 40%
- Investor
- Investor 35%
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives72
- Confidence58
Crypto super PACs commit $33 million to beating Sherrod Brown, who was out of office for the Clarity vote
Fairshake and the Winklevoss-backed Digital Freedom Fund have put $33 million into Ohio against Sherrod Brown three weeks before the election. The target lets the industry settle a 2024 score while leaving alone the Democratic senators a market-structure bill would need next year.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives70
- Confidence62
Blockchain Association Names Founder Kristin Smith Interim CEO as Mersinger Departs Days After Senate's 49-50 CLARITY Act Vote
Blockchain Association founder Kristin Smith returns as interim CEO on October 17, days after the CLARITY Act failed a 49-50 Senate cloture vote. For investors waiting on a market-structure law, the Senate count matters more to the timetable than the change at the top.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives40
- Confidence55
Kristin Smith becomes the Blockchain Association's interim CEO on October 17 and keeps her job as president of the Solana Policy Institute. The industry-wide group will share its chief executive with one chain's lobby while the Clarity Act sits stalled in the Senate.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 13%
- Operator
- Operator 45%
- Investor
- Investor 42%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence70
A September 15 cloture vote needs 60 votes, and only 14 working days remain before the October recess. The SEC is drafting a token exemption in the meantime.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 15%
- Operator
- Operator 38%
- Investor
- Investor 47%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
buildConfirmed2 publishers The Senate's 49-50 procedural vote left the securities-versus-commodities test where it already was, with the SEC and CFTC free to keep writing rules under existing powers and those rules open to court challenge.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives72
- Confidence64
The crypto super PAC is spending $30 million in Ohio over six weeks, about a quarter of the $120.4 million it and its affiliates reported on September 20. The target is a Senate Banking gavel that Democratic caucus rules do not automatically restore.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 12%
- Operator
- Operator 50%
- Investor
- Investor 38%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives60
- Confidence62
Eight trade groups told Senate leaders the bill's rewards carve-outs would let stablecoins pay interest by another name. The White House's own April study puts the lending at stake at $2.1 billion, or 0.02%.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives80
- Confidence65
ABA's chair pins the CLARITY Act fight to the deposit base
A Detroit community banker who chairs the American Bankers Association says stablecoin rewards would pull funding out of local lending, and the argument now turns on who is allowed to pay a token holder for holding.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives88
- Confidence42