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Startup Valuations

Pre-revenue private marks, small rounds at large valuations, and the multiple of valuation to total capital raised.

Current stories

scienceConfirmed6 publishers

Ramp reportedly raises $1.85B at $60B pre-money, months after launching procurement agents

Ramp raised about $1.85 billion at a $60 billion pre-money valuation, Bloomberg reported, up from $44 billion in June. Forkast frames it as spend software turning into an agent platform. The price is under 40 times the annualized revenue Ramp reported in June.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 21%
Operator
Operator 15%
Investor
Investor 64%

Reality

Evidence48
Adoption58
Hype gap+25
Incentives40
Confidence62
investConfirmed8 publishers

RobCo's employee share sale values the Munich robot maker above $1 billion

RobCo staff sold most of a $40 million share block at terms valuing the Munich robot maker above $1 billion, twice January's price. Most of the cash went to the sellers, so the figure measures demand for physical AI more than it funds RobCo.

Perspective Coverage

11 publishers
Builder
Builder 15%
Operator
Operator 31%
Investor
Investor 54%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption32
Hype gap+35
Incentives70
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

Wrtn hires Mirae Asset and NH to take its 1 trillion won August mark to public investors

The Korean AI service platform raised 100 billion won in August at a valuation above 1 trillion won, roughly 4.3 times all the money ever invested in it, and is targeting a preliminary review filing next year.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption30
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence40
buildOne report1 publisher

Chinese regulators slowed humanoid robot IPOs to test whether state-funded orders are independent sales

The scrutiny centres on revenue booked through data collection centres and joint ventures that local governments capitalised. One person familiar with the review put the valuation impact at 60 to 70 percent if that revenue is stripped out.

Publishers:mezha.net

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption28
Hype gap+25
Incentives65
Confidence50
productOne report1 publisher

OpenAI holds out for $1.5tn after investors approached at $1.2tn

The New York Times reports OpenAI is weighing one more private round at about $1.5tn before it lists, roughly double its last valuation. It points to demand for its Codex coding tool to justify the number.

Publishers:thenextweb.com

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption41
Hype gap+33
Incentives78
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Late-stage marks fell four times harder than seed in Carta's year-over-year valuation data

Carta's Q1 2023 medians put Series D 58% below a year earlier and seed down 14%. Portage's Stephanie Choo calls the last round's valuation close to irrelevant, and the negotiating has moved to deal terms.

Publishers:carta.com

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption40
Hype gap+5
Incentives65
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Corgi added twelve dollars of valuation for every dollar of its $106m round

Three rounds in eight weeks carried the San Francisco startup insurer Corgi from $1.3bn to about $4bn of paper value, on $266m of disclosed new cash, no published premium figure and a growing chain of free 24-hour cafes.

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption34
Hype gap+45
Incentives70
Confidence38
investOne report1 publisher

Mach's $600m tranche buys roughly the same slice of the company that $300m bought in June

Ribbit, Infinite, Bedrock and Sequoia put $600m into Mach Industries at $3.7bn, three months after $300m at $1.8bn. On those marks the second cheque takes 16.2 per cent of the company and the first took 16.7.

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption22
Hype gap+30
Incentives68
Confidence40
investOne report1 publisher

The four funds that priced Mach at $1.8bn in June repriced it at $3.7bn

Ribbit, Infinite, Bedrock and Sequoia have put another $600m into Mach Industries at more than double the valuation they themselves set three months ago, lifting the Series C to $900m and lifetime funding past $1bn.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption20
Hype gap+32
Incentives74
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Clay's $7.1bn valuation puts about $417,600 of enterprise value on each of 17,000 customers

Wellington Management led $115M into a business whose mark went from $3.1bn to a $5bn employee tender to $7.1bn in thirteen months. The customer count is the only operating figure disclosed alongside it.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption52
Hype gap+35
Incentives75
Confidence45
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Astromech raised $20M at $3.8B, and the asset being priced is Colossal's data

The spinout's valuation is 63 times every dollar of capital it has ever taken, on datasets gathered for de-extinction work. Anyone holding irreproducible data has an unpriced clause in a contract.

Publishers:forbes.com

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption8
Hype gap+58
Incentives72
Confidence42