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Topic

Rare earths

A group of seventeen metallic elements used in magnets, electronics and defence hardware. China controls most global supply and processing.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

Baotou's radioactive tailings lake largely explains China's ban on stand-alone monazite mines

China bars stand-alone monazite mines, largely because of a 10-square-kilometer radioactive tailings lake at Baotou, IEEE Spectrum reports. Industrialized nations spending billions on rare-earth supply chains are counting on that same ore.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap−5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Energy Fuels plans a $410 million rare-earth scale-up on thorium-bearing monazite

The Trump administration signed a $725 million conditional loan commitment with Energy Fuels, a monazite processor, IEEE Spectrum reported. The feature treats thorium waste as a permanent burden but does not show it decides which projects succeed.

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption30
Hype gap+20
Incentives40
Confidence50
productConfirmed3 publishers

EU trade chief says China will curb hybrid car exports, possibly by more than half

EU trade commissioner Maroš Šefčovič said China agreed to moderate hybrid and plug-in hybrid car exports to the EU, a cut that could top half. EU leaders still have the final say, so importers are planning around press remarks.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com kfgo.com thenextweb.com

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 12%
Operator
Operator 43%
Investor
Investor 45%

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives60
Confidence55
investConfirmed2 publishers

SIA's origin count cuts the US, Europe and Japan share of chip equipment and materials spend to 68%

China supplies about 5% of the equipment and materials US chipmakers buy but over 90% of certain rare earths, the Semiconductor Industry Association says. Headquarters-based supplier counts understate the upstream dependency, so decoupling is harder to plan than the 5% suggests.

Publishers:scmp.com semafor.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

EU and China reach a preliminary deal that could cut Chinese EV imports by up to half

EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic said a preliminary deal with China could cut Chinese electric and plug-in hybrid imports to the EU by up to 50%. Europe's side of the bargain has not been published, and leaders across the 27-nation bloc still have to approve the package.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+40
Incentives70
Confidence40
leadershipOne report1 publisher

EU fast-tracks 46 minerals projects on a 2030 timetable as Séjourné warns of a China crisis within months

EU industry commissioner Stéphane Séjourné backed 46 critical-materials projects costing €21bn and warned a China trade crisis could come within months. Flagship status speeds permits without EU cash, and the new supply is due by 2030, years past the window he described.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption25
Hype gap+35
Incentives60
Confidence55