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Public Opinion on AI

Polling and survey data tracking how Americans view AI's risks, benefits, and regulation, including control, safety, and economic impact.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

Trump's Super Intelligence order defines the new term as whatever AI already covered

President Donald Trump's 29 September order tells federal agencies to say 'Super Intelligence' and 'SI' instead of 'artificial intelligence' and 'AI'. Its definition of the new term points straight back to the old one and sets no capability bar for a system to clear.

Publishers:nature.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+65
Incentives50
Confidence60
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Medicine holds the public's one favourable view of AI while hospitals deploy it on notes

Seventy percent of American adults say they are more worried than excited about AI, and the one exception in the polling is scientific research and medicine. The fastest uptake inside medicine is administrative.

Publishers:vox.com

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption32
Hype gap+18
Incentives38
Confidence45
productOne report1 publisher

68% of America's daily AI users told Gallup they are worried about the technology

Microsoft commissioned the 37-country survey, and its US cut puts heavy use alongside worry, with only 45% of daily users saying they trust AI results a lot.

Publishers:techcrunch.com

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption45
Hype gap+22
Incentives62
Confidence58
productOne report1 publisher

NYT/Siena finds 47 percent of Republicans oppose building data centres for AI

The same survey puts overall opposition at 61 percent among 1,503 likely voters, and New York's pause on large data-centre permits has not moved, so the people siting capacity are negotiating local politics in both parties.

Publishers:thenextweb.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives70
Confidence62
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Starting pay in the most AI-exposed majors fell 13% after ChatGPT, Census researchers find

The Census Bureau study puts that hit on a par with graduating into a large recession. A separate study of 393 employees finds the productivity gains coming back to staff as a higher performance bar.

Publishers:charterworks.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+12
Incentives35
Confidence52
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Sixty-three percent of Americans put at least moderate odds on AI destroying humanity

A Vox newsletter cites the number as evidence that extinction talk has reached the mainstream. The question behind it asked Americans to rate an outcome, and that shapes what a leader can answer.

Publishers:vox.com

Reality

Evidence24
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives55
Confidence34
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Bessent told the House that AI labs should stay liable for what they build

Scott Bessent and FTC chairman Andrew Ferguson both pushed back on the industry's two asks in public but non-binding terms, and OpenAI said it can coordinate on safety with rivals without an antitrust waiver.

Publishers:implicator.ai

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption20
Hype gap+5
Incentives74
Confidence66
investOne report1 publisher

Bores spreads a $30 million target across 11 states after the cycle's costliest House primary

Outside money in Alex Bores' House primary topped $40 million, and the largest disclosed sum, Anthropic's $20 million, funded a PAC in his corner. He lost anyway, and his new nonprofit starts with $10 million.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives74
Confidence50
productOne report1 publisher

ARIA makes human authorship an eligibility test for Australia's music charts

ARIA has made human authorship a condition of chart eligibility in Australia. A disclosure label is a different build. This one needs someone empowered to judge a contested record, plus evidence they will accept.

Publishers:thenextweb.com

Reality

Evidence38
Adoption35
Hype gap+22
Incentives62
Confidence42
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Belief in AI displacement is outrunning healthy employment data, Noahpinion argues

Noahpinion sets the prime-age employment rate near all-time highs against Ipsos and Pew findings that the public expects AI to compete with workers, which leaves headcount plans resting on a premise the aggregate data has not tested.

Publishers:noahpinion.blog

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption45
Hype gap+20
Incentives40
Confidence48
investOne report1 publisher

As ~3,000 data centers advance, two-thirds of Americans oppose one nearby

Fortune's split screen at the G20 in Chapel Hill has Sam Altman calling more infrastructure the only way to keep AI cheap while hundreds outside object; the number that decides it is a 3,000-site pipeline needing county consent.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption72
Hype gap+14
Incentives74
Confidence54
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Local consent is becoming the scarce input in data center plans

Approval for a nearby data center fell from 43 percent to 15 percent in twelve months, and roughly half of contested projects now die. National capacity keeps growing while the risk lands on individual sites.

Publishers:vox.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption78
Hype gap+12
Incentives58
Confidence55
buildOne report1 publisher

Two governors imposed statewide moratoriums on new data centers

Gallup found an average of 7 in 10 Americans oppose data center construction in their area. New York and Texas both paused approvals in July and early August. A site can clear every engineering screen and still fail at a hearing.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption35
Hype gap+22
Incentives66
Confidence44
leadershipOne report1 publisher

More than 500 local bans or moratoria have hit datacenter siting nationwide

Opposition to compute buildouts now polls at three-quarters of Americans and has become the central charge in Senate races contested by both parties, which makes permitting, rather than megawatts or capital, the variable that moves a capacity schedule.

Publishers:theguardian.com

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption45
Hype gap+42
Incentives72
Confidence34
investOne report1 publisher

Gates says the tax code pays employers to swap workers for machines

His fix, a levy on robots and AI tokens, is asked to deter substitution and fund the safety net at once. It cannot do much of both.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+38
Incentives66
Confidence40
investOne report1 publisher

Governors, Not GPUs, Are Becoming the Binding Constraint on the AI Buildout

Chamath Palihapitiya says the state-level revolt against AI data centers could cost 200 to 300 basis points of annual US GDP. The permitting risk is now bipartisan.

Reality

Evidence32
Adoption58
Hype gap+42
Incentives74
Confidence33