Starfish Space's Otter will autonomously inspect up to four defunct US objects for NASA
NASA's SSPICY mission, launched Oct. 1 on a Starfish Space Otter, will autonomously inspect up to four defunct US objects from early 2027. NASA says it is the first flight to test the craft's electric propulsion, thruster boom and navigation software together as one system.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives65
- Confidence45
USA 32, a US spy satellite launched in 1988, broke apart on Sept. 13 at 775 km, in a region thought to hold at least 200 other satellites. By Sept. 28 no one had published a fragment count or a cause, so the risk to those neighbors cannot yet be sized.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
US becomes the first nation to publicly acknowledge weapons in orbit
The US said on September 14 that it has weapons in space, the first nation to acknowledge such weapons publicly. The open question is which kind it has, because the kinds differ widely in how much debris they would leave in orbits every nation shares.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
The Air Force secretary put US weapons in orbit on the record
Troy Meink said on September 14 that the United States has on-orbit space control weapons. A day later in Beijing, a Chinese analyst called a taboo broken and a Secure World Foundation analyst said the 1967 treaty was not violated.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives70
- Confidence40
Troy Meink said the US has fielded on-orbit space control weapons, the first American acknowledgement of the kind, though he gave no detail on the weapons or their targets, leaving the consequence in the UN argument over a ban.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 27%
- Operator
- Operator 49%
- Investor
- Investor 24%
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives72
- Confidence62