Cisco says its new 51.2-terabit G302 switch chip will ship before the end of the year
Cisco told the Open Compute Project summit that its 102.4-terabit Silicon One G300 is now shipping to customers at volume. Buyers can order against those dates. The optics module Cisco showed with Nvidia rests on Cisco's own bandwidth claims.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
The Ascend 960 is dated 2027 and the 970 is dated 2028, but the only large order on the record is DeepSeek's 160,000 chips of the current generation. That fleet is forty pods of silicon Huawei ships today.
Perspective Coverage
8 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 35%
- Operator
- Operator 30%
- Investor
- Investor 35%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives65
- Confidence60
CScale emerged from stealth with $188 million, backed by Nvidia and Intel Capital, to build optical links for AI clusters spanning dozens of racks. Its pitch is that compute keeps running when a laser fails, though it has not said how.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 27%
- Operator
- Operator 27%
- Investor
- Investor 46%
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives70
- Confidence60
Ayar Labs raises another $150M against an end-2027 volume qualification deadline
The optical interconnect startup is now past a billion dollars in outside funding, with Nvidia, AMD and MediaTek on the cap table since March, and its chief executive says everything has to be qualified for volume production by the end of 2027.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
Huawei claims 244 gigabytes of shared HBM for each of the Atlas 960E's 4,096 chips
Huawei used HUAWEI CONNECT 2026 to publish its own specification for a 4,096-chip cluster with a petabyte of shared memory, aimed at models approaching 10 trillion parameters.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives65
- Confidence35
Photonics aims at 20 of the 400 tonnes of copper inside a 100MW data centre
Operators are betting light replaces copper between the chips inside a data centre. Whether it does turns on hall temperature and cable routing as much as on an optical cost curve that is still expensive.
Reality
- Evidence46
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives80
- Confidence50
Marvell paid $3.25bn for silicon photonics maker Celestial AI to target market KeyBanc sees hitting $20bn by 2030
KeyBanc's optical thesis for Marvell and Marvell's own revenue guidance both land near $30 billion, four years apart and measuring different things. The purchase price for the technology is already committed.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives62
- Confidence36