Skip to content

Topic

On-chain analytics

The practice of inferring ownership, intent and fund flows from public blockchain data, which depends on third-party labeling of addresses.

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Bubblemaps disputes the seven-figure profit Sahil Arora claims on his Mayweather meme coin

Floyd Mayweather's accounts pushed a Solana meme coin that peaked near $1 million and fell 96% in three hours, Decrypt reported. Promoter Sahil Arora calls it the start of a second wave of celebrity launches.

Publishers:decrypt.co

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives75
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Large bitcoin holders are buying faster than at any time since February

Bitcoin whales raised holdings to 3.03 million BTC while US spot ETFs lost $744.3 million over six sessions. The whale reading is a 30-day growth rate, so Wednesday's CPI print will test a comparison across unequal windows.

Publishers:cryptoslate.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Cardano's 110 million ADA whale cut equals about 5% of one day's trading volume

Cardano fell 15.7% in seven days to about $0.234 as large holders cut more than 110 million ADA and daily active addresses dropped 41%. The cut is small against an $8.78 billion market, so the bear case rests on price levels.

Publishers:crypto.news

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption40
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence65
investOne report1 publisher

F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun bets $19.3 million on ether gaining against bitcoin

F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun swapped $19.31 million of wrapped bitcoin for ether as bitcoin slid to $80.5K on Oct. 9, on-chain trackers say. The swap extends a bet, tracked since June, that ether will outrun bitcoin, and the ETH/BTC ratio is still below its 2026 open.

Publishers:news.bitcoin.com

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
investConfirmed6 publishers

US government sends $1 billion of seized Bitfinex bitcoin to unlabeled wallets

Wallets tied to the US government moved 12,267 seized Bitfinex bitcoin, worth about $1 billion, to new unlabeled addresses. No exchange deposit was recorded, CoinDesk reported. Whether Washington is selling turns on the smaller sums it sent to Coinbase Prime.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 27%
Investor
Investor 68%

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investConfirmed3 publishers

Bitcoin with exposed public keys grows 3.5 times faster than new supply

Glassnode's Rafael Schultze-Kraft counts 31.2% of circulating Bitcoin behind exposed public keys, up 222,000 BTC since May while supply grew 64,000 BTC. Exchanges supplied most of that rise, and a venue can cut its share by moving reserves to fresh addresses.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 28%
Operator
Operator 40%
Investor
Investor 32%

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence60
investConfirmed2 publishers

MARA's filings show a bigger bitcoin drawdown than the $81m transfer that triggered sale talk

MARA Holdings moved 996 bitcoin worth about $81m to Galaxy Digital on October 9, a transfer the analytics firm Lookonchain flagged as a possible sale. The on-chain data cannot confirm a sale, and MARA's filings already show its treasury fell to 35,577 bitcoin from 49,951 a year earlier.

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives55
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Viral $197M Fidelity Bitcoin Sale Claim Remains Unconfirmed as Arkham Clarifies Separate Strategy-Linked Transfers Were Internal Custody Moves

Arkham Intelligence says 3,568 bitcoin tied to a viral claim of a $197 million Fidelity sale moved inside Fidelity Custody on Sept. 29 and were not sold. Fidelity holds coins in those wallets for institutional clients, so a large on-chain transfer cannot by itself show who is selling.

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
investOne report1 publisher

US government sends $770m of seized bitcoin to Coinbase Prime in its biggest outflow since 2024

The US government moved 9,261 bitcoin worth about $770 million to Coinbase Prime, its largest outflow since December 2024, Galaxy Research data showed. The venue is the US Marshals Service's custody desk, so a deposit there does not confirm a sale.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
investConfirmed2 publishers

US government's $470 million Coinbase transfer tests the exceptions in the bitcoin reserve order

US government wallets moved about $470 million of seized Bitfinex- and Alameda-linked crypto to likely Coinbase Prime addresses, Arkham said. Trump's reserve order lets officials repay victims from seized coins, so even a sale of this pool would say little about the pledge to keep reserve bitcoin.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investConfirmed6 publishers

US government wallets send 833 bitcoin to Coinbase Prime in their first move since August

US government wallets sent 833.6 BTC, worth about $71.6 million, toward Coinbase Prime on Oct. 7, roughly 0.26% of the bitcoin they still hold. The risk that the stash comes to market depends far more on the executive orders limiting sales of reserve bitcoin than on transfers this small.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 7%
Operator
Operator 36%
Investor
Investor 57%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence62
investOne report1 publisher

LINK's 24% rally came with 24 more new Ethereum wallets a day

Santiment counts new Ethereum LINK addresses up under 2% across a 24% rally that has since faded to about $13.35. That count covers one chain and mostly the weeks before CCIP 2.0, so it is an early, partial test of Chainlink's institutional push.

Publishers:crypto.news

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption25
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
investConfirmed3 publishers

Bitcoin's $89.9 million ETF outflow is too small to explain its stall below $87,000

US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost a net $89.9 million on Monday, roughly 0.08% of their $110.8 billion in assets, while Bitcoin stalled again below $87,000. Counted with the two sessions before it, the funds were net buyers, so the sellers who turned the price back over those three days were mostly outside the funds.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 8%
Investor
Investor 87%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption60
Hype gap+12
Incentives45
Confidence64
investOne report1 publisher

Coin Metrics rewrites Ethereum's exchange-flow history back to genesis with wallets it found later

Coin Metrics has recomputed all daily and hourly Ethereum exchange-flow metrics from the first block, using the exchange wallets it knows today. Outflow backtests run on a fresh download can now count wallets nobody had identified on the trade date.

Publishers:cryptoslate.com

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap0
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Bitcoin's October rally needs ETF buying back near $190 million a day, Bitfinex says

Bitfinex says bitcoin needs ETF buying back near $190 million a day to extend a September gain of more than 6.5%. About 1.39 million coins were bought between $84,000 and $86,500, and holders waiting to break even can sell into any climb.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence35
investOne report1 publisher

Bitcoin closes about $900 below its heaviest long-term holder band with leverage already cleared

Bitcoin's CMBI benchmark closed near $83,113, just under the $84,000-$85,000 band where Glassnode counts more long-term holder coins than at any other price. With futures leverage at its lowest since March, spot buyers and sellers will decide whether the band holds.

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption45
Hype gap+5
Incentives35
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

XRP's lowest Binance scarcity reading since January 2025 is measured against a shrunken reserve

CryptoQuant's scarcity index for XRP on Binance has fallen to its lowest since January 2025, with the token trading around $1.10 to $1.13. The index is scored against a shrinking baseline, so it shows that supply is returning more clearly than it shows how much.

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives30
Confidence40

Earlier coverage