Skip to content

Topic

Market breadth

A measure of how many securities participate in an index's move, using tools such as advance-decline lines to gauge whether a rally is broad or narrow.

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Russell 2000 heads into the vote up 15.1% against a 0.5% average across 11 midterm years

Russell 2000 is up about 15.1% this year, but Furey Research found an average 0.5% gain across 11 midterm years, with gains in only 45% of them. The post-election record bulls cite looks very different once the last four midterms are included.

Publishers:seekingalpha.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Four megacaps added 300 S&P 500 points in Q3 while everything else gave back 150

Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple and Meta added roughly 300 S&P 500 points in Q3, over 200% of the index gain, Citadel Securities commentary says. Holders of a cap-weighted fund own those weights automatically, so 500 names diversify less than the count implies.

Publishers:seekingalpha.com

Reality

Evidence48
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
investConfirmed3 publishers

Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple and Meta supplied twice the S&P 500's third-quarter gain

Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple and Meta added about 300 points to the S&P 500 in the third quarter while the other members subtracted about 150. With roughly 311 stocks down, most of an index fund's money sat in the group that lost ground.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 3%
Operator
Operator 14%
Investor
Investor 83%

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence62
investOne report1 publisher

Half of S&P 500 stocks sit at least 16% below their highs as the 10-year yield reaches 5.27%

Goldman Sachs says half of S&P 500 members sit 16% or more below their 52-week highs while the index is about 1% off its record. The gap points to a few heavily weighted AI stocks carrying the index as Treasury and European bond yields keep climbing.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Nearly two-thirds of S&P 500 stocks are trailing an index up more than 13% this year

Only 35% of S&P 500 stocks are beating an index up more than 13% in 2026, while a quarter of its members have fallen 10% or more. Over ten years, Trivariate Research finds just 23% of stocks beat the index, so thin breadth has made stock picking a low-odds bet.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Crescat counts 17 sessions of more new lows than new highs under a record NASDAQ close

The letter reads four breadth and credit divergences as a major market top forming. The most recent episode it cites, the weeks before April 2, 2025, was followed by a selloff the index has since recovered.

Publishers:seekingalpha.com

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+45
Incentives88
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Michael Kramer dates a liquidity squeeze to October and November on $317bn of net issuance

Mott Capital's Michael Kramer argues that deteriorating breadth in stocks and high-yield bonds, falling SOFR volumes and money fund outflows will meet another $317 billion of net Treasury issuance in October and November.

Publishers:seekingalpha.com

Reality

Evidence20
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives60
Confidence45