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Lunar water ice

Frozen water deposits trapped in permanently shadowed craters near the moon's poles, seen as a key resource for future lunar bases and fuel production.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

NASA selects three PRISM payloads to scout ice, lava tubes and hazards for Moon Base

NASA selected three PRISM science payloads to fly on commercial CLPS landers and survey lunar ice, a possible lava tube and surface hazards for Moon Base. Their findings are meant to shape where and how crews live at an outpost NASA is already planning.

Publishers:nasa.gov

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives65
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Lunar water budget could sustain a town of 10,000 for centuries, but not a city of a million

Researchers at the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory and Durham University costed drinking, hygiene and food water against the Moon's polar ice. How long a settlement lasts turns almost entirely on which ice estimate goes into the model.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption8
Hype gap+25
Incentives25
Confidence55
buildOne report1 publisher

IBM's lunar model cuts ice-prospectivity RMSE to 0.0293 on a split without a geographic buffer

IBM research data scientist Gabby Nyirjesy told Lets Data Science that neighboring map patches went into training and test with no separation between them. The 22% gain over SwinV2-B holds under that one partition.

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption22
Hype gap−10
Incentives58
Confidence65