Researchers at UCLA and UC Santa Barbara report in Science that the rare 15N15N form of nitrogen gas tracks how much nitrogen microbes convert to gas. Air dissolved in water normally hides that microbial gas, so the signal shows nitrogen removal that conventional methods obscure.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives45
- Confidence60
Half a gram of Bennu puts its birthplace at the solar system's water-ice line
An ETH Zurich lab measured iron, titanium and chromium in its share of the OSIRIS-REx return and found the same dust reservoir that produced Ryugu and the rare CI meteorites, a composition matching neither the inner nor the outer solar system.
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives55
- Confidence62
Two Tasman Sea volcano chains trace back to one plume split by a stalled slab
A simulation that was never tuned to the Tasman Sea, a 200-million-year plate reconstruction and a lead-isotope signature that takes over a billion years to form all point to the Lord Howe and Tasmantid seamount chains sharing one source.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives58
- Confidence56
ETH Zurich reanalysis caps Earth's outer Solar System material below 2 percent of its mass
Paolo Sossi and Dan Bower ran published meteorite data through ten isotope systems instead of the usual two, and found Earth's composition matches inner Solar System material alone, with under 2 percent from beyond Jupiter.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence55
Isotopes in an Ediacaran tube fossil move animal-microbe symbiosis back 100 million years
A team at Nanjing University read sulfur and molybdenum ratios in Conotubus, a 550-million-year-old tube from southern China, and inferred bacterial partners feeding on hydrogen sulfide: a metabolic signature, not a preserved body.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives65
- Confidence48