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Topic

Government Bond Yields

The interest rates investors demand across sovereign debt maturities, which set benchmark borrowing costs and reflect inflation, supply and policy expectations.

Current stories

investConfirmed2 publishers

Shorter maturities carry the G7's higher yields into budgets faster, the IMF finds

IMF fiscal chief Rodrigo Valdes says public debt is poised to hit 100% of GDP, the highest since World War Two, as G7 10-year yields climbed over 1 point. Nearly 30% of G7 and Spanish debt matures within a year. Investors should keep borrowing costs and fiscal risk in their planning.

Reality

Evidence66
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence70
investOne report1 publisher

Foreign investors sell 2.59 trillion won of Korean stocks while Wall Street rises

Foreign investors sold a net 2.59 trillion won of Korean stocks on Wednesday as the KOSPI fell 1.98% despite a record close for the Nasdaq. Local bond yields rose as global yields eased, though a Daishin analyst tied the selling to Samsung's guidance due Thursday.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 13%
Investor
Investor 82%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence70
investOne report1 publisher

Takaichi's 370 trillion yen plan leaves its public share open under a 40 trillion yen bond cap

Sanae Takaichi is due to address Japan's parliament with a 370 trillion yen, 14-year investment plan whose public share her government has not specified. The speech tests the fiscal part of a bond selloff that also runs on war-driven energy costs and rate hikes.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Seoul's plan for a 60 trillion won tax windfall runs against the Bank of Korea's rate hikes

South Korea's government wants authority to move a tax windfall of more than 60 trillion won into a new fund while the Bank of Korea is raising rates. Whether the money repays deficit bonds or feeds fund spending will help decide how far rates have to rise.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Korea's 19-month climb up the OECD leading index has slowed to 0.06 point a month

Korea's composite leading indicator reached 102.87 in August, the highest of the 17 countries the OECD publishes. The monthly gains that got it there have narrowed in each of the last five months.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives60
Confidence62
investOne report1 publisher

Bessent's buyback left the 30-year yield higher than before he intervened

Scott Bessent says term premiums show investors are not charging extra to hold long US debt. The 30-year sits at a 52-week high of 5.35%, and UBS told clients the buyback plan has had no discernible impact.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption30
Hype gap+34
Incentives78
Confidence54
investOne report1 publisher

Treasury aims a tripled $6bn buyback at lighter-traded 10-year and 20-year notes

Treasury tripled a routine operation and pointed it at the two maturities where the curve is printing out of order, which is a clearer statement about where it thinks the market is thin than anything in the release itself.

Reality

Evidence28
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives62
Confidence34