buildConfirmed10 publishers Google priced Gemini 4 Argon at $2 and $10 per million input and output tokens, then released it first to trusted cyber defenders in its Fairwind Program. Teams can budget against those rates now but cannot yet measure the token counts they multiply.
Perspective Coverage
10 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 43%
- Operator
- Operator 29%
- Investor
- Investor 28%
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives68
- Confidence66
Grok 4.7 arrived on Monday after five walked-back timelines, with 40% more parameters and Grok 4.6's list price intact. Cursor's own cost chart still puts its price per task above GPT-6 Astra and Claude Sonnet 5.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 42%
- Operator
- Operator 27%
- Investor
- Investor 31%
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
ARC Prize's own harness scores GPT-6 Astra 37 points below OpenAI's adapter
ARC Prize ran GPT-6 Astra under two scaffolds and published both, 62.7% through its own minimal interface and 99.9% through OpenAI's Provider Adapter, which cost less. An eval that leaves the harness loose is scoring plumbing.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+64
- Incentives72
- Confidence62
OpenAI prices its first Critical-rated model at 2.5 times the last one
Astra costs $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output, both up the same 2.5 times, so the only way to hold spend flat is 60 percent fewer tokens. The capability being priced is the one rated Critical.
Reality
- Evidence22
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives68
- Confidence34
Paying two AI vendors is the leverage. Write it into the contract before it expires
Ramp's July payment data puts a hard floor under how many companies buy both Anthropic and OpenAI. That overlap is a negotiating position with a short shelf life.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption76
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives62
- Confidence55
The AI trade's weak link is the buyer: Anthropic's best model took 6% of its tokens
American businesses have found a price they will not pay for frontier AI. Ramp's July spend data locates the weak link in customer budgets rather than in model quality.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives62
- Confidence52