Size, money and party shape how Michigan officials rate nine-day early voting
Forty-one percent of Michigan city and township leaders say nine-day early voting has hurt election administration, a University of Michigan survey found. Ratings divide by town size, budget stress and party, and officials describe the costs only in their written comments.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives25
- Confidence64
Supreme Court clears states to check voter citizenship against DHS's SAVE database
Supreme Court lets states screen voters against DHS's SAVE database, over three dissents and lower-court findings that its data is inaccurate. Each state decides whether to use it, so eligible voters' exposure depends on which states opt in before the midterms.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
A federal district judge restored Missouri's new congressional map minutes after Kavanaugh denied it
The US Supreme Court's refusal to force Missouri's 2025 map into the midterms held only as long as it took a district judge in the same state to rule the other way, on identical legal arguments.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
Cutting rural mail trucks to one a day could add up to 55,000 rejected ballots, Brookings estimates
Brookings' Elena Patel estimates the Postal Service's one-truck rural schedule could add 43,000 to 55,000 mail-ballot rejections in November. It builds on this year's primaries in three states and puts the heaviest risk on rural Western voters.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption55
- Hype gap−10
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
Monday evening's order in USPS v. California stops the late-August mail-ballot rules that election officials said they could not implement in time, and officers from both parties say the 2026 cycle now proceeds unchanged.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives62
- Confidence70
Supreme Court's 7-2 order keeps the USPS citizenship-verification rule out of the 2026 midterms
Justice Kavanaugh's concurrence faults the implementation calendar and allows that the final USPS regulation may be lawful. The rule the Postal Service already finalized stays available for a cycle with more lead time.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives55
- Confidence45
A Pennsylvania county now makes 2,500 election workers swear off prediction markets
Delaware County amended its election worker oath to cover bets and wagers. It is the first concrete sign that liquid election markets manufacture insider-risk controls where none existed.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption26
- Hype gap+21
- Incentives68
- Confidence54