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Topic

Direct Cash Payments to Households

Government cash transfers to individuals, such as stimulus checks, rebates and dividend-style payments, often debated for their fiscal cost and economic impact.

Current stories

investOne report1 publisher

Trump's $5,000 midterm dividend swings between a $1.35 trillion and a $1.7 trillion bill

Donald Trump's $5,000 midterm dividend has alternated between adult citizens and all citizens, a 73 million-person gap. With only 21% of registered voters expecting the check in an Economist/YouGov poll, the pledge is a conditional promise with two possible price tags.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+55
Incentives80
Confidence50
investConfirmed6 publishers

A Republican donor calls Trump's $5,000 midterm promise a 'bread and circus bribe'

Trump promised $5,000 to each American adult if his party keeps its congressional majorities, and Fortune reports that such a proposal could cost more than $1 trillion. No financing was attached to it.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 48%
Investor
Investor 47%

Reality

Evidence80
Adoption5
Hype gap+60
Incentives85
Confidence70
investConfirmed3 publishers

Johnson answers Trump's $5,000 dividend with a promise to find consensus

Trump promised American adults $5,000 each if Republicans hold Congress, a payout put near $1.3 trillion, and the two Republican leaders who would have to legislate it have both declined to promise it.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 6%
Operator
Operator 47%
Investor
Investor 47%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+65
Incentives72
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

A Wharton economist prices Trump's $5,000 dividend at $1.35 trillion of new borrowing

Kent Smetters of the Penn Wharton Budget Model puts the checks at about $1.35 trillion, or $1.15 trillion if a $400,000 income cap he supplied himself applies, against a federal deficit already running near $2 trillion a year.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives70
Confidence58
investOne report1 publisher

Funding Trump's $5,000 dividend at 4.92 per cent adds about $59bn a year in coupon

A Fortune column pins the 30-year's move to 5.35 per cent on Trump's Dallas pledge and prices the payment at $8,000 a head. That second figure holds only if the coupons are borrowed too.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption20
Hype gap+30
Incentives65
Confidence50