Coinbase and Marqeta announced on October 16 an expanded deal for stablecoin-backed enterprise cards, with Coinbase handling custody and Base settlement. Merchants see a normal card transaction, so the stablecoin work falls to the two providers.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
Direct crypto settlement falls to 39% of companies in FinteqHub's first-half data
FinteqHub says the share of companies settling directly in crypto fell from 62% to 39% between the first halves of 2025 and 2026. Its definition of direct excludes conversion and routing, so part of the drop may be payments moving into routed stablecoin settlement.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption47
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence40
Standard Chartered moved its $2 trillion stablecoin forecast from 2028 to 2030 as supply stalled near $309 billion. Geoffrey Kendrick, its head of digital assets research, ties the stall to weak crypto markets, and Allium data show trading still outweighs payments.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence58
Pi Network's OUSD payments plan specifies no requirement to buy or hold PI
Pi Network's October 8 plan to explore Open USD payments and Pioneer rewards specifies no requirement to buy or hold PI, a coin now near $0.0835. Dollar payments could grow activity on Pi while demand for the coin waits on reward and settlement terms the team has not published.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives55
- Confidence55
Citi is adding Coinbase-run stablecoin checkout to its merchant services, and one report says the bank will hold digital dollars that earn 3.75%. Whether that reward reaches Citi's customers decides if a major bank has joined the side of the yield fight its industry opposes.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence40
Google's AP2 replaces the buy click with a cryptographically signed mandate
Google's Agent Payments Protocol makes an agent's authority to pay a cryptographically signed mandate holding price limits, timing and other conditions. Whoever drafts those conditions is setting spend policy.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives80
- Confidence60
US Treasury bills hold about a third of the $46.2bn tokenized asset market
RWA.xyz's count puts US T-bills at $15bn of a $46.2bn total and five assets at about 70% of it. Other trackers stop at $38bn, so the Treasury share of onchain finance moves seven points on the choice of tracker.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption62
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives55
- Confidence32