Tropical Storm Rachel is due ashore near the California-Mexico border early Sunday under only the second tropical storm watch ever issued in California. Its swell is already damaging homes and flooding streets along the coast, days before the center arrives.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 19%
- Operator
- Operator 58%
- Investor
- Investor 23%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence68
Researchers warn an internal Kelvin wave from this year's super El Niño could lift California sea levels by up to 30 cm once it reaches the coast. The raised water would add to winter storm surges, though the oceanographer quoted expects it to distort tides for weeks.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 18%
- Operator
- Operator 69%
- Investor
- Investor 13%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence65
Full-moon tides under a slow nor'easter gave Atlantic City its highest water since Sandy
Atlantic City's water in the late-September nor'easter hit its highest level since Superstorm Sandy in 2012, as peak surge met a full-moon high tide. A storm researcher calls the El Niño outlook unclear, but rising seas alone will make equally strong storms more damaging.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap0
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Tide models reproduce observed tides once they include the springlike push of internal waves
Tide researchers report that adding the springlike force of internal tides lets models match observed tides without simulating those waves directly. They say warming and stratification are already changing tides, though their account does not say by how much.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives35
- Confidence55
Rising soil salt flattens the profit ranking of Greater Lincolnshire's crops
Researchers laid crop, land-quality and flood-risk maps over farm accounts in Greater Lincolnshire and simulated saltier soils. In their model every major crop loses money, potatoes fastest and winter wheat least.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives35
- Confidence55