buildOne report1 publisher Cisco's USFP optic starts at 6.4 Tbps and reaches 12.8 Tbps at 32 lanes
Cisco, working with Nvidia, announced USFP, an OSFP-sized pluggable that targets 12.8 Tbps from 32 lanes of 400G. The first spec is 16 lanes at 6.4 Tbps, a 4x gain over 1.6 Tbps optics. Only the 32-lane version reaches 8x.
Publishers:assets.theregister.com
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Nvidia backs a pluggable optics format while promoting the co-packaged alternative
Four companies, Nvidia and Cisco among them, have introduced a new pluggable optics form factor for AI data centers, cryptobriefing.com reported. Nvidia also sells the co-packaged alternative, and the evidence that supplier lists will change is thin.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives55
- Confidence45
Co-packaged optics asks switch buyers to give up choosing their own optics suppliers
Co-packaged optics, shrugged off when Cisco showed it on a 3.2TB switch at OFC 2023, now has the industry's attention, DatacenterDynamics reports. Operators have to decide whether its promised power savings are worth giving up the many pluggable suppliers that give them negotiating leverage.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence45
buildOne report1 publisher Intel patents RGB MicroLED dies embedded in glass and wired through glass vias
Intel has won a U.S. patent for RGB MicroLED dies embedded in glass and wired through through-glass vias, aimed at diagnostics and chip lighting. Tom's Hardware sees a possible second route to co-packaged optics beside AUO's 10-metre MicroLED links, though the patent claims no optical interconnect.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence45
buildOne report1 publisher Tower's $4 billion optical-chip build-out in Japan starts inside an already-qualified fab
Tower Semiconductor and Japan will co-invest $4 billion to reach 45,000 300mm-equivalent wafers a month of optical-connectivity capacity by 2029. Until the new fab lands in 2029, growth comes from adding tools to a fab that already ships.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption50
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives55
- Confidence40
Ayar Labs raises another $150M against an end-2027 volume qualification deadline
The optical interconnect startup is now past a billion dollars in outside funding, with Nvidia, AMD and MediaTek on the cap table since March, and its chief executive says everything has to be qualified for volume production by the end of 2027.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
The Atlas 960E fits 8 EFLOPS behind Huawei's own optical engines, and the Ascend 960DT arrives three quarters early, while rotating chairman Eric Xu says supply goes to Chinese customers first and dates China's catch-up with its own demand to 2030.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 26%
- Operator
- Operator 38%
- Investor
- Investor 36%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption50
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence60
Morphotonics banks 40 million euros to scale production and enter data-center optics market
The Dutch company stamps out waveguides for smart glasses and now wants to supply data center optics, a market where it has not installed a machine. Its backers include 3M Ventures and the European Investment Bank.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives70
- Confidence50
Marvell paid $3.25bn for silicon photonics maker Celestial AI to target market KeyBanc sees hitting $20bn by 2030
KeyBanc's optical thesis for Marvell and Marvell's own revenue guidance both land near $30 billion, four years apart and measuring different things. The purchase price for the technology is already committed.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives62
- Confidence36
Kyocera anneals an optical isolator onto a silicon waveguide with a 700-micrometer laser spot
Kyocera and Tohoku University report 13.6 decibels of isolation on a silicon waveguide, roughly a 95 percent cut in reflected light, from garnet crystallised by a laser aimed at one small patch. Lower loss and mass production are still on their list.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives58
- Confidence55
buildOne report1 publisher The optical interconnect bill: $144B by 2030, and 63.7% of it is silicon photonics
A forecast filed with a Hong Kong IPO puts data center optics at $144.4 billion in 2030, and the $15 billion already spent means rack decisions made now are bets on a moving roadmap.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption32
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives82
- Confidence45