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Climate change

Long-term shift in global temperature and weather patterns, driven mainly by human greenhouse gas emissions, altering ecosystems and extreme weather.

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

Arctic ice is thinner and younger after a decade of steadier September minimums

Arctic sea ice hit its 2026 minimum on September 12 at about 4.6 million square kilometers, tied for 10th lowest on record. NASA Earth Observatory says the remaining ice is thinner and younger, and scientists still warn of a nearly ice-free summer before 2050.

Publishers:sciencedaily.com

Reality

Evidence82
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap−5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence70
scienceConfirmed4 publishers

Seven of 16 tracked climate indicators sit at record extremes in the 2026 BioScience report

Oregon State scientists leading an international coalition report in BioScience that seven of the 16 climate indicators they track are at record extremes. Its authors frame the destabilization as a diagnosis, with renewables and battery storage advancing alongside it.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 14%
Operator
Operator 55%
Investor
Investor 31%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives45
Confidence68
scienceConfirmed3 publishers

Tropical Storm Rachel's swell floods Southern California's coast ahead of a rare landfall

Tropical Storm Rachel is due ashore near the California-Mexico border early Sunday under only the second tropical storm watch ever issued in California. Its swell is already damaging homes and flooding streets along the coast, days before the center arrives.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 19%
Operator
Operator 58%
Investor
Investor 23%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence68
scienceOne report1 publisher

Central Pacific's Niño 3.4 region passes 30C for the first time as El Niño strengthens

Sea surface temperatures in the Pacific's Niño 3.4 region passed 30 degrees Celsius for the first time, preliminary data released Oct. 5 show. On the anomaly measures that remove global ocean warming, the event is already close to the strongest El Niño on record, Timothy Osborn of the University of East Anglia told Live Science.

Publishers:livescience.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

New Zealand's seas could cool or overheat under an El Niño on track to set a record

El Niño now building in the Pacific is on track to be the strongest recorded, with central Pacific seas forecast up to 3.6C above normal this summer. Past strong events point to cooler New Zealand seas, though the same record includes a long, damaging marine heatwave.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
scienceOne report1 publisher

A typical recent autumn would make 2026 the hottest U.S. year on record

Contiguous U.S. temperatures averaged 57.98 degrees F from January to August 2026, the hottest such stretch since records began in 1895, NOAA data show. Only a cooler-than-normal fall would keep 2026 from an annual record, Zeke Hausfather says.

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence68
scienceOne report1 publisher

Copernicus finds 34% of the world breathed extremely poor ozone air through mid-September

Copernicus, the EU's atmosphere monitor, says 34% of the world's population breathed "extremely poor" ozone air from January 1 to September 15. Its report partly blames heat and wildfires and finds ozone flat even where emission rules have cut other pollutants.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Seven of Earth's nine planetary boundaries are breached and worsening, Potsdam report finds

More than 60 scientists, in the Potsdam Institute's 2026 Planetary Health Check, find seven of nine planetary boundaries crossed and still worsening. Six of the seven are boundaries other than climate change, and three of those share its red danger zone.

Publishers:livescience.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
productOne report1 publisher

DeepMind's extra day of hurricane warning rests on three years of historical storms

Google DeepMind's WeatherNext Cyclones gives hurricane forecasters about an extra day of accuracy on average, according to a Nature study of past storms. So far it has one live season on record, and that season is what forecasters will lean on when the next storm strengthens fast.

Publishers:gizmodo.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption60
Hype gap+25
Incentives60
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Extreme fire weather weakens the firebreak that Alaska's young forests provide

Recently burned Alaskan forest reburns 1 to 3 orders of magnitude less often than older forest, Gaglioti and colleagues find in 1984-2020 fire data. Extreme fire weather weakens that barrier most in young stands, so a scar's value as a firebreak depends on its age and the weather.

Publishers:eos.org phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

A 67-study synthesis finds climate change's effects on marine invaders vary by invasion stage

The authors' example is a Red Sea seagrass that reached dominance in Caribbean shallows Hurricane Maria had scoured. Their numbers, covering 30 species, show climate change rarely promoting an invader's spread.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+32
Incentives66
Confidence47