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China's chip self-sufficiency push

China's drive to build domestic alternatives across chip design, memory, AI accelerators and lithography, reducing reliance on foreign semiconductor suppliers.

Current stories

investConfirmed10 publishers

DeepSeek gives away an Ascend 950 version of the toolkit it built for Nvidia chips

DeepSeek open-sourced six modules for programming Huawei's Ascend 950, versions of tools it first built for Nvidia chips. The largest Ascend build tied to the release is DeepSeek's own plan for a data centre holding at least 160,000 of the chips.

Perspective Coverage

10 publishers
Builder
Builder 35%
Operator
Operator 21%
Investor
Investor 44%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption18
Hype gap+40
Incentives70
Confidence65
investOne report1 publisher

Enflame tripled on debut to 187 times the revenue it mostly bills to Tencent

Enflame sold a tenth of itself at 142.18 yuan and traded near 430 on day one, adding about 124 billion yuan of market value to a chipmaker that lost 1.16 billion yuan last year and books 84% of sales through Tencent.

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption34
Hype gap+45
Incentives78
Confidence55
productOne report1 publisher

Zeiss lenses are doing the printing inside China's flagship domestic DUV machine

Huawei now coordinates China's lithography effort, according to the Financial Times, and the flagship tool it is coordinating uses projection optics that Zeiss says it sells only to ASML, which bounds how fast substitution can actually arrive.

Publishers:thenextweb.com

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption30
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Huawei claims stacked circuits deliver the density lithography would need three years to reach

Huawei's own paper puts transistor density up 53.5%, and TrendForce's relay of it does check out, but the number with money attached is Bernstein's call that Nvidia's China share falls from about 40% to 8% next year.

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption34
Hype gap+48
Incentives80
Confidence38
investOne report1 publisher

CXMT converts the DRAM shortage into a 51.6 percent net margin

CXMT turned 150.3 billion yuan of half-year sales into 77.6 billion yuan of profit. Goldman still marks the shares at about ten times next year's earnings, which is the market declining to price the shortage as permanent.

Publishers:taipeitimes.com

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption68
Hype gap+12
Incentives66
Confidence55