Chainalysis tracing testimony survives the D.C. Circuit without a source-code disclosure
The D.C. Circuit on September 25 upheld Reactor-based tracing testimony and affirmed Roman Sterlingov's 150-month Bitcoin Fog sentence. Vendors with closed code now have a ruling to cite, though the review was deferential and the case had other evidence.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
Three knife-wielding intruders took about $800,000 from a UK trader, he says, including $720,000 from a Ledger hardware wallet. Police have not confirmed it; Chainalysis counts over $30 million in confirmed losses from such attacks in the first half of 2026.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 18%
- Operator
- Operator 50%
- Investor
- Investor 32%
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence58
ZachXBT paid a Chinese laundering network 5% an order to trace $12M in stolen Bybit funds
Investigator ZachXBT posed as a paying client of a Chinese laundering network and traced more than $12 million of North Korea's stolen Bybit funds. The trace covers under 1% of the roughly $1.5 billion taken, so the broker proved reachable even as recovery stayed small.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
Triple-A's treasury attacker sends $12.4M of ether into Tornado Cash in 56 deposits
Triple-A's July treasury attacker deposited 4,970 ETH, about $12.4 million, into Tornado Cash on Oct. 9, blockchain security firm Salus said. Getting the coins back now depends on tracers tying withdrawals from the mixer to the attacker, as Salus did once with earlier withdrawals.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption48
- Hype gap0
- Incentives58
- Confidence50
THORChain liquidity providers took three-quarters of the fees from laundering Bitget's stolen funds
Swap protocols and wallets collected $761,725 in fees moving funds from the $387.5 million Bitget hack, researcher Andrey Sergeenkov found. Part of $259,718 in linked THORChain affiliate fees reached an OKX-labeled wallet, where deposit records could identify a holder.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap0
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Arkham Intelligence says wallets tied to LIBRA's Kelsier Ventures now hold about $2 million, down from nearly $300 million in February 2025. Because about $100 million of that was USDC and SOL, a falling LIBRA price cannot explain the drop on its own.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives30
- Confidence55
Former NCA officer Paul Chowles must repay £1.81 million over 50 bitcoin he took from a Silk Road 2.0 seizure in 2017, when they were worth about £60,000. The order values only the 30 coins police recovered, at today's price, so the 20 he spent are the state's loss.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 22%
- Operator
- Operator 51%
- Investor
- Investor 27%
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives35
- Confidence70
Police referred 18 of 26 investigated users to prosecutors over 17.6 billion won in wagers, identifying them from on-chain transactions after regulators rejected the platform's argument that it had no Korean footprint.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 20%
- Operator
- Operator 47%
- Investor
- Investor 33%
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption64
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives45
- Confidence62
Seizure warrants across 2025 and 2026 reached domains, servers and one hosted IP rather than a fixed set of wallets. That moves the detection burden from screening known addresses toward spotting the channel that mints new ones.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives72
- Confidence54
Zondacrypto's exit was on-chain for months before the site went dark
A licence certifies anti-money-laundering paperwork, not the existence of the coins. Estonia's own regulator said so, roughly three months after users lost access.
Reality
- Evidence46
- Adoption71
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives63
- Confidence48