Tron Inc. filed to sell up to $200 million of common stock, a ceiling equal to 84% of the $237 million of TRX it holds. Shares opened 4.7% lower the next day, but they were already down about 67% in a year, so one opening print cannot isolate dilution worry.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives45
- Confidence60
Strive's SATA preferred raised an estimated $55M for bitcoin, almost all in two sessions above par
Strive's SATA preferred stock raised an estimated $55 million this week through its at-the-market program, enough for about 638 bitcoin. Nearly all of it came on the two days the shares held their $100 par, because issuance stops below that price.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives45
- Confidence50
Strategy shares fall 1.7 times as far as Bitcoin after the 848,000 BTC filing
Strategy shares closed at $151.47 on October 8, about 11% below their weekly high, as Bitcoin fell 6.3% from its peak. The stock moved about 1.7 times as much as Bitcoin both that week and across September, short of the more-than-double swing The Crypto Times calls typical.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence55
Strategy spent $151.7 million buying back STRC preferred stock and $142.7 million on 1,665 Bitcoin in the week covered by its Sept. 28 filing. Its $18.84 billion of unsold common stock can fund more of both, though Michael Saylor's Oct. 4 post confirms no new purchase.
Reality
- Evidence78
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives55
- Confidence72
Strategy's common shareholders are paying to lift STRC back toward par
Strategy sold $246.2 million of new common stock last week and put $103.5 million of it into buying back STRC preferred below its $100 par. Those same common holders decide on October 28 whether the four preferreds move to daily dividends.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Strategy spent $151.7 million retiring STRC preferred in the week to September 27, more than the $142.7 million it paid for 1,665 bitcoin. MSTR stock sales paid for most of both, so common shareholders are now paying to shrink the company's preferred stock.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 28%
- Investor
- Investor 67%
Reality
- Evidence80
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives60
- Confidence78
The asset manager paid for the coins with fresh common and preferred stock. Back out the two disclosed percentages and the fully diluted share count grew about 4% in a single week.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 18%
- Investor
- Investor 77%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence68
A ten-week gap in purchases produced a $1.59bn dollar reserve, and the roughly 3,588 coins sold in July to meet dividend obligations show where cash has to come from when the asset on the balance sheet pays none.
Perspective Coverage
6 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 6%
- Operator
- Operator 22%
- Investor
- Investor 72%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption50
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
New shares supplied a fifth of Strategy's $31.6 billion market-cap gain
Strategy told followers its market value rose $32 billion in three months. The share price rose 54%. About $6.3 billion of the gain came from selling 61.5 million new shares at an average of $102.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives75
- Confidence55