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AI Safety Policy

Government and industry rulemaking on how advanced AI systems are tested, audited and released, and who sets those standards.

Current stories

productOne report1 publisher

Anthropic's GLM-5.3 warning adds to an open-model fight with money on both sides

Anthropic argued in a report late last month that Z.ai's freely downloadable GLM-5.3 poses a major cyberattack risk. MIT Technology Review says Nvidia's Jensen Huang and Anthropic's Dario Amodei each have money riding on how the open-model fight ends.

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap
Not scored
Incentives70
Confidence40
buildConfirmed5 publishers

White House super intelligence accord leaves enforcement to the six firms that signed it

Six AI companies signed a two-page White House accord on 29 September that pledges audits and board review but sets no penalty for breaking it. A close reading of the text finds it is the nearest thing the US has to national AI safety policy, two months after Europe switched its rules on.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 27%
Operator
Operator 37%
Investor
Investor 36%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence70
productOne report1 publisher

Ro Khanna presses DeepSeek, Alibaba and Moonshot AI on kill switches and outside inspection

Rep. Ro Khanna asked DeepSeek, Alibaba and Moonshot AI if they would be prepared for an incident like this summer's OpenAI-agent hack of Hugging Face. The letters target frontier labs, but the incident they cite is one any team shipping agents has to plan for.

Publishers:theverge.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives60
Confidence50
investConfirmed7 publishers

Investors open talks that value OpenAI 20% above the IPO it postponed

The Financial Times says the suggestion came from investors: $1.2 trillion, 41% above the round OpenAI closed in March and 1,200 times the annualized advertising revenue it disclosed last month. The talks are early.

Perspective Coverage

8 publishers
Builder
Builder 9%
Operator
Operator 18%
Investor
Investor 73%

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption55
Hype gap+30
Incentives65
Confidence55
leadershipConfirmed2 publishers

Amodei gives his botnet warning a 6-12 month deadline

A sharptext.net column argues the loudest AI risk estimates should be scored against the record of the people issuing them. Of the four forecasts it assembles, only one can be checked inside a year.

Publishers:sharptext.net vox.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption30
Hype gap+35
Incentives65
Confidence50
productOne report1 publisher

Karp tells CNBC the safety debate is really the labs asking to be nationalized

Alex Karp told CNBC that frontier labs are angling for government liability cover because their commercial clients would otherwise sue them. Buyers whose data feeds those models should read their contracts with that in mind.

Publishers:gizmodo.com

Reality

Evidence38
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+32
Incentives80
Confidence45
buildConfirmed7 publishers

Amodei's pacing plan caps the slowdown at the size of America's lead

Neither Washington nor Beijing endorsed the proposal behind this month's frontier-lab consensus, which asks for evaluators inside labs, coordinated capability thresholds and international deals and ties how much anyone slows to how far ahead the US already is.

Perspective Coverage

7 publishers
Builder
Builder 33%
Operator
Operator 35%
Investor
Investor 32%

Reality

Evidence78
Adoption22
Hype gap+34
Incentives82
Confidence74
securityOne report1 publisher

Bessent tells the House to keep frontier labs liable for what their models generate

At Tuesday's House Financial Services hearing the Treasury Secretary called a liability waiver a "blank check" and said the labs want one while also asking the industry to slow down. He urged both houses to refuse.

Publishers:cyberscoop.com

Reality

Evidence64
Adoption34
Hype gap+26
Incentives66
Confidence57
investOne report1 publisher

Huang rejects the antitrust waiver Amodei says a frontier slowdown would require

Three days after Anthropic's chief executive proposed that leading labs coordinate to slow model releases, Nvidia's chief executive told CNBC that the legal cover such coordination needs is completely unnecessary.

Publishers:cnbc.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+12
Incentives80
Confidence57
productOne report1 publisher

OpenAI's policy chief says the top three labs have coordinated on safety for weeks

OpenAI says the joint work with Anthropic and Google DeepMind has been running for weeks. Its policy chief does not expect to need an antitrust waiver, Anthropic's CEO has asked Washington for one, and the FTC chairman says his alarm bells are going off.

Publishers:gizmodo.com

Reality

Evidence48
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+32
Incentives84
Confidence52