Trump's Super Intelligence order defines the new term as whatever AI already covered
President Donald Trump's 29 September order tells federal agencies to say 'Super Intelligence' and 'SI' instead of 'artificial intelligence' and 'AI'. Its definition of the new term points straight back to the old one and sets no capability bar for a system to clear.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+65
- Incentives50
- Confidence60
President Trump ordered federal agencies to write 'Super Intelligence' in place of 'AI' in correspondence, websites, reports and policy documents. The order sets no new duty for model builders; what could change their scope is a proposed statutory definition due to the President within 60 days.
Reality
- Evidence80
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+55
- Incentives70
- Confidence70
US and China promise an AI incident channel before defining an incident
US and China agreed at a three-day Washington summit to create an AI incident channel without publishing what counts as an incident or how one is reported. The one follow-up on the calendar, a separate dialogue due by November, sets no deadline for making the channel work.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence35
A national emergency declaration turns grid supply-chain preference into prohibition. What counts as prohibited will not be defined for roughly another four months.
Perspective Coverage
6 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 23%
- Operator
- Operator 57%
- Investor
- Investor 20%
Reality
- Evidence78
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence70
White House confiscates hard passes from three newsrooms in one morning
CNN, MS NOW and Politico say their credentials were taken at the gate the day after Trump said he would remove them. The two comparable cases in his first term ended with federal judges ordering the passes back.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption60
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
A 1930 discrimination statute now taxes Canadian alcohol and dairy at 50% indefinitely
Trump invoked Section 338 on July 20 and the duty landed August 19 at the law's 50% ceiling. USMCA duty-free treatment does not cover the listed goods, and duties under this authority can run indefinitely.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption62
- Hype gap−12
- Incentives68
- Confidence57
White House shelves the self-regulating AI body Treasury and OSTP had drafted
Wired reports the FINRA-style oversight framework has sat in limbo since executives called Trump in August. Product teams are left with an embedded-auditor bill and no House voting days before the midterms.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives72
- Confidence45
Guthrie declines to promise the FRONTIER Act a committee vote this year
The bipartisan AI safety bill has OpenAI, Anthropic and members of both parties behind it. The House Energy and Commerce chairman says only that he will not rush it through a lame duck session.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives75
- Confidence58
Three US agencies advise AI providers to quietly degrade answers for suspected distillers
The NSA, FBI and CISA name six Chinese firms and describe how the traffic was routed, then recommend one mitigation that lands squarely on whoever owns the abuse queue and answers the support ticket.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives74
- Confidence45
Both remaining AI oversight plans differ on how much self-regulation to allow
A reported August phone call from Mark Zuckerberg is the latest time a binding AI review has come back voluntary. For teams planning compliance, the live choice is an industry-funded reviewer or a film-style ratings scheme, and both let the model ship.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives78
- Confidence55
Zuckerberg argued against a FINRA-style AI reviewer in a direct call with Trump
The plan is far enough along inside the White House to draw a chief executive's phone call, which makes third-party model review a planning assumption for compliance teams rather than a hypothetical. The design remains open.
Reality
- Evidence36
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives82
- Confidence44
OpenAI rates GPT-6 Astra capable of hacking hardened systems without human guidance
The 100% ExploitBench score and two fresh V8 zero-days are OpenAI's own numbers, one of them still unverified, but the "critical" designation is a dated document that every agent deployer's controls will now be read against.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+58
- Incentives82
- Confidence34
Trump's emergency order reaches the Chinese transformers under America's data-center boom
China supplies close to 30% of some transformer and switchgear categories and more than 40% of US battery imports, so the Energy Department's new power to condition those purchases lands on a buildout planning to go from 62 GW to 152 GW.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives68
- Confidence52
Tanker trackers mark Wright's record Hormuz day down to 9.14 million barrels
The Energy Secretary's 17 million barrels appears to bundle ship-to-ship transfers that take days into a single day. On TankerTrackers' count Monday moved 9.14 million, which puts the export recovery nearer three-fifths of pre-war than above it.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption48
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives74
- Confidence52
buildOne report1 publisher A White House request deleted the public record of federal pre-release model testing
Commerce's AI Standards Center said on May 5 it had access to three frontier models before launch, and the post came down days later at White House request, which is a fair measure of what these voluntary deals are secured by.
Reality
- Evidence26
- Adoption31
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives66
- Confidence34
A BIS draft would reprice the offshore racks Tencent rented at $80,000 a chip
Export controls have governed who holds a chip rather than who logs into it. A draft that could reach AI companies in September would change that. The deals already done show what offshore capacity was priced to earn.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives62
- Confidence42
Washington names industrial-scale distillation, then hands the detection bill to abuse teams
A White House memo calls Chinese model distillation deliberate and industrial in scale, then answers it with information sharing, best practices and a demarche. The detection work stays with providers.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives66
- Confidence58
The AI Pact turns data center permitting into a signed campaign promise
More than 15 candidates have signed a five-point pledge on data centers and AI. It stops short of a moratorium, which a Republican governor in Texas has already imposed.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence55
Trump's 7.5% China tariff is priced to keep a summit, not to close a factory
Two people put the rate at 7.5%, picked because officials think it will not break the one-year truce or the Xi meeting. Stacked on last month's forced-labor duties, the new layers run 17.5% to 20%.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives70
- Confidence35
Kushner routes Jeffries to the chief of staff, which is what pricing in a lost House looks like
Trump's outside adviser is building a working channel to the man who would be speaker. The Speaker who holds the job now says do not bet against House Republicans.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives74
- Confidence48