Researchers from 14 countries say the Wilkes Basin's ice could raise seas 3 to 4 meters, though its pace of retreat and its trigger are still unknown. Until someone measures the sea floor and ocean at its glacier fronts, the basin's share of future sea-level rise cannot be dated.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence60
ACCESS-NRI puts Australia's ice-sheet modellers on a single supported ISSM build
Australia's climate simulator now offers one shared ISSM build, a Python interface and a community data pool to its ice-sheet researchers. Coupling that ice to the ocean and atmosphere inside ACCESS comes later.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives78
- Confidence57
A master's project mapped 39,619 grounded icebergs holding Antarctic sea ice in place
A University of Tasmania master's project has produced the first continent-wide, high-resolution census of the icebergs grounded around Antarctica, the anchors that keep coastal fast ice from drifting off into the Southern Ocean.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
Deep-space radar caught a Falcon 9 stage off its predicted path before it hit the Moon
University of Tasmania researchers bounced a NASA signal off a spent upper stage almost 400,000 kilometres out and found it slightly off where models placed it, which is the working argument for radar in cislunar space.
Reality
- Evidence47
- Adoption50
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives68
- Confidence43
A nine-month balloon, and the end of the oak-leaf defence for single-use latex
Imperial College London's Bioloon keeps natural latex and drops the vulcanisation additives. Its makers estimate nine-month breakdown, but the number they have not certified is the one buyers need.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption6
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives72
- Confidence44