IEA expects the diesel shortage to last into 2027 despite sanctions relief and stockpile releases
International Energy Agency says the global diesel shortage will stretch into 2027 despite planned sanctions easing and stockpile releases. Heavy diesel users face high costs into next year while refiners expect record profits.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
Saudi Arabia kept its World Energy Congress running in Riyadh after Houthi strikes that closed the airport killed 13 and injured over 300. Operators with Gulf travel or freight exposure have a closed airport to plan around and a wider closure to price.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
Shell forecast a refining margin of $42 a barrel for July to September, almost double the $24 of the prior quarter and above 2022's high of about $28. The gain came from fuel prices outrunning crude, so diesel buyers now carry refinery risk on top of oil risk.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives55
- Confidence68
TotalEnergies signs with PDVSA five years after writing off $1.4bn in Venezuela
The memorandum signed at Miraflores Palace on September 19 follows deals BP, Eni, Repsol and Chevron struck with the new government this year. Venezuela still pumps under a million barrels a day against about three million in the late 1990s.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence33
Sixty basis points of margin cost Europe's largest 500 companies about $93 billion
Fortune's fourth Europe 500 counts a record $15.5 trillion of combined revenue at a 6.5% margin, down from 7.1% two years ago, with two fifths of the profit sitting in 105 finance companies. Part of this year's rebound came from oil.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives72
- Confidence52
Techouse's compact offshore steam generator clears full-scale tests; the CO2 math is still an estimate
A once-through steam generator developed with TotalEnergies, Equinor and SINTEF passed vibration and fatigue testing at Stord. Commercial launch is targeted for end-2026, and the data analysis is unfinished.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives68
- Confidence42