Skip to content

Research lab

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

German research institute studying climate change impacts, Earth system boundaries, and risks to societies through climate and environmental modelling.

Known aliases

  • PIK
  • Potsdam Institute

Current stories

scienceOne report1 publisher

PIK's 169-country map puts the 19 fossil-fuel-dependent countries at 6% of world output

PIK researchers report in Nature Sustainability that the 19 most fossil-fuel-dependent of 169 countries produce 6% of global output. The three clusters that gain most from decarbonization hold another 13%.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceConfirmed4 publishers

Seven of 16 tracked climate indicators sit at record extremes in the 2026 BioScience report

Oregon State scientists leading an international coalition report in BioScience that seven of the 16 climate indicators they track are at record extremes. Its authors frame the destabilization as a diagnosis, with renewables and battery storage advancing alongside it.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 14%
Operator
Operator 55%
Investor
Investor 31%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives45
Confidence68
scienceOne report1 publisher

Grasslands stripped of plant diversity absorb about 15% less CO2 by 2050 in a PIK-Kiel model

Grasslands with strongly reduced plant diversity would take up about 15% less CO2 by 2050, a PIK and Kiel University model in PNAS projects. The comparison pits kept diversity against a deliberately extreme loss, so it measures what the plant mix is worth to carbon uptake under warming.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Seven of Earth's nine planetary boundaries are breached and worsening, Potsdam report finds

More than 60 scientists, in the Potsdam Institute's 2026 Planetary Health Check, find seven of nine planetary boundaries crossed and still worsening. Six of the seven are boundaries other than climate change, and three of those share its red danger zone.

Publishers:livescience.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

A Planetary Health Check chapter puts annual bottom-trawl disturbance at up to 2% of the seafloor

Seafloor integrity has its own chapter in this year's Planetary Health Check. The estimates it compiles count area disturbed, not duration of disturbance.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption25
Hype gap+12
Incentives55
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Modelled 1.7C pathway cuts Australian coal exports 95% before 2040

Climate Analytics and the Potsdam Institute treat the 1.5C breach as settled and model how long the overshoot lasts. Their Australian pathway needs a 55% cut on 2005 levels by 2030, where current policy delivers 43%.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption18
Hype gap+20
Incentives70
Confidence50
scienceOne report1 publisher

Europe's burned area is heading for +39% to +192%, and suppression spending is the swing factor

A PIK-led study projects Europe's annual burned area rising 39% under low emissions and 192% under high. The same paper says fire management could claw most of that back, for now.

Publishers:phys.org

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+14
Incentives62
Confidence55