Blue Origin will spend $330 million on a Cape Canaveral expansion due in summer 2027 that will let it build up to 150 New Glenn upper stages a year. Two flights a week would be 104 launches a year, 63% of the 165 Falcon missions SpaceX flew last year.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 21%
- Operator
- Operator 45%
- Investor
- Investor 34%
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+55
- Incentives60
- Confidence68
Jeff Bezos said Blue Origin will likely go public in several years, after its first outside raise of $10 billion at a reported $140 billion valuation. Outside investors get about 7% of a company with no listing date and a rocket not due to fly again until December.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 10%
- Operator
- Operator 18%
- Investor
- Investor 72%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
Amazon has built its 1,000th Leo broadband satellite and says commercial service is weeks away. TNW puts the count in orbit at 396, unchanged since July, so what customers can buy now depends on how fast the rockets fly.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence58
NewOrbit's founder puts satellite launch waits at 30 to 36 months, up from about a year
Anatolii Papulov of NewOrbit says satellite launch lead times have reached 30 to 36 months, up from about 12 a year ago. The figure is one start-up's experience, though Quilty Space analyst Caleb Henry also calls the shortage a crisis with several causes besides Falcon 9.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives35
- Confidence45
Bezos supplies a fifth of Blue Origin's reported $10 billion first outside round
Blue Origin's first outside raise reached $10 billion at a $140 billion valuation, the Wall Street Journal reported, with Bezos putting in $2 billion. About $8 billion of outside money is pricing a company whose rocket has not flown since a May pad explosion.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives80
- Confidence40
Sandia physicists weigh New Glenn's pad explosion from infrasound recorded 1,000 miles away
A Sandia-led team pulled the energy of New Glenn's May 29 hotfire explosion out of infrasound recorded as far away as northeast Texas, putting the blast at an estimated 0.131 kilotons of TNT equivalent using infrasound data alone.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives42
- Confidence58