buildOne report1 publisher Taiwan prosecutors say false end-user statements sent TI and ADI radar chips to Chinese missile programs
Taiwanese prosecutors indicted 10 people accused of buying TI and ADI military chips in the name of Taiwan's defense institute and sending them to China. Prosecutors say the signed end-user statements that US rules require before these parts ship were false, so the case rests on a promise the buyer wrote about itself.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives45
- Confidence45
Taiwan's $930 million sea-drone plan has 25 boats on order toward a 1,320 target
Taiwan plans to spend $930 million on unmanned surface vessels built on local hulls with US software and hardware, aimed at defending Kinmen and Matsu. The industry money is now law, so the program's risk sits with the first prototypes and with whether local yards can build at volume.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives35
- Confidence30
Taiwan signs for cheap undersea drones, and a local maintenance network to go with them
NCSIST and US startup Vatn Systems will explore fielding the modular Skelmir S12 in Taiwan, plus local supply chain and sustainment. The load-bearing clause is the maintenance network, not the vehicle.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives66
- Confidence38
An audit says the NT$3.55 billion fixed-site network built to guard airbases misses the PLA's 5.1GHz drones. A separate army purchase died after three failed tests.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives60
- Confidence68
Taiwan's audit finds a $111M counter-drone system that cannot hear the band the PLA moved to
A 2021 requirement met a 2025 threat, and lost. A separate 26-unit buy died at its third acceptance test, leaving Taiwan with two failing fixed-site programmes at once.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives68
- Confidence48