CFTC takes casino sportsbooks out of the swap definition and proposes to put sports event contracts in
CFTC issued an interim final rule on Oct. 9 excluding state- and tribal-licensed casino sportsbooks from the swap definition. A proposal published the same day would treat exchange-traded sports and politics event contracts as swaps, so federal treatment would follow the venue.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
CFTC pairs its optional crypto exchange registration with a 28-day wallet delivery exception
CFTC on Oct. 5 opened a consultation on an optional federal registration for crypto venues offering retail leverage, with 60 days for comments. Chairman Michael Selig also proposed a 28-day wallet-delivery test that would generally exempt those trades from registered-exchange trading rules.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence40
CFTC opens 60 days of public comment on crypto rules it has yet to propose
CFTC on Oct. 5 opened 60 days of public comment on an advance notice of rulemaking for crypto asset transactions. Comments land before any rule is proposed, so firms with digital-asset exposure get their earliest say on any rules the commission writes.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives55
- Confidence40
ESMA calls prediction markets 'rife with insider trading' in its biannual risk report
The European Securities and Markets Authority put the phrase in a report published Thursday. Among the venues it describes is Polymarket, valued at $21 billion after Donald Trump Jr.'s 1789 Capital bought in when it was worth under a billion.
Reality
- Evidence33
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives57
- Confidence41
The CFTC opened a 60-day consultation on compute derivatives on Aug. 19. The design question underneath it, which index a hedge settles against, decides whether the hedge works at all.
Publishers:cftc.gov · tradingview.com
Reality
- Evidence74
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives72
- Confidence66
Bitcoin Above $79,000: The Squeeze Did More Buying Than The ETFs Did
Two days of spot ETF inflows add to roughly $1.12 billion. The short liquidations cited alongside them are more than three times that, and they only pay once.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption46
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives71
- Confidence38