Skip to content

McKinsey Global Institute

McKinsey & Company's economics and business research arm, which publishes reports on productivity, technology and global markets.

Known aliases

  • MGI

Current stories

investConfirmed2 publishers

McKinsey removes a Global Institute director from his leadership roles over deleted LinkedIn posts

McKinsey removed Chris Bradley, one of a handful of Global Institute directors, from his leadership roles over deleted LinkedIn posts. The reporting shows one case and no published standard, a thin base for a firm-wide rule on partners' posts.

Publishers:cityam.com livemint.com qz.com

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 8%
Operator
Operator 50%
Investor
Investor 42%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives55
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

McKinsey: U.S. could have more jobs in 2035, though about 770,000 workers a year may need to change occupations, 3.6 times the historical rate

McKinsey Global Institute says technology could cut U.S. labor demand by the equivalent of 36 million jobs in a decade while growth adds about 41 million. On those figures jobs rise, so the open question is how fast workers can move into them.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap−5
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Senior roles take 71% of the rebound in US software job postings

Senior roles drove 71% of the rise in US software job postings in the year to May 2026, Indeed Hiring Lab data show. Postings are still 27.5% below pre-pandemic levels, and the new openings favor experienced people who can check AI-written code over juniors.

Publishers:cnbc.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption55
Hype gap+15
Incentives40
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

Robert Half counts 72% of managers planning to pay AI-skilled recruits more in 2027

Robert Half says 72% of managers plan to pay more for recruits with AI skills in 2027. Its raise table and LinkedIn's posting data put that premium anywhere from about two points of salary to $97,000 a year, so whichever source a budget uses sets the line item.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence38
Adoption30
Hype gap+40
Incentives50
Confidence42
investConfirmed3 publishers

McKinsey's AI forecast needs near-pandemic rates of US career switching through 2035

McKinsey Global Institute's base case has about 11 million US workers leaving their occupations by 2035 because of AI and automation. The cost of that shift will be paid in training and relocation, since most of the growing jobs require a credential and cannot be done remotely.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 10%
Operator
Operator 62%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

McKinsey values redesigned human-AI work at up to $2.9 trillion a year by 2030

McKinsey Global Institute says redesigning work so people and AI share it could be worth up to $2.9 trillion a year by 2030. Its evidence that companies are choosing redesign over layoffs comes down to one gap between expected and actual job cuts.

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption25
Hype gap+40
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
investOne report1 publisher

McKinsey puts one agent task's run-to-run cost spread at 30 times

Per-unit intelligence has kept getting cheaper since GPT-4 shipped in 2023, and enterprise AI bills have kept climbing anyway. Two McKinsey senior partners spent a Tuesday session on why consumption and vendor margins explain it.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives70
Confidence50