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Australian financial services conglomerate offering investment banking, asset management, and commodities and markets trading globally.
The dollar index is set for a 0.45% weekly fall, CNA reported, yet it rose on Wednesday when tech stocks sold off. The case that AI stress no longer lifts the dollar rests on one session and a conditional forecast.
Reality
Dollar index slid 0.25% to 102.29 on Tuesday, just under its 18-month high, as traders bet Middle East tension stays contained before the midterms. Wednesday's CPI tests a Fed priced at an 80% hold this month and 75bp of tightening by late 2027.
Reality
France's five-year default swaps rose to 81 basis points on Friday as its 10-year yield hit 4.989%, the highest since 2002. Macquarie's Thierry Wizman calls outright default unlikely but puts the odds of a budget-straining National Rally presidency near 50%.
Reality
Analysts expect Iran to drag the war past the Nov. 3 midterms, even as U.S.-escorted Middle East oil exports climb to almost 13 million barrels a day. Their case is that the escorted barrels cost Tehran leverage and leave escalation as one of its two remaining options.
Reality
Beijing has bought almost half of its 25 million ton soybean commitment, about 150 of the 200 pledged Boeing aircraft are accounted for without named customers, and August rare earth magnet shipments to the US fell 20% from July. Trump and Xi meet Thursday.
Reality
About 300 investment executives managing more than $120 trillion came to a Toronto hotel to hear Canada's pitch on minerals, energy and trade access. Ottawa's new offer this week was faster tax rulings for investments above $1 billion.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishersReality
Gilts at 5.81% and 30-year JGBs above 4% put the US long bond inside a range of sovereign alternatives rather than above it. The 10-year was back at 4.74% by Friday.
Reality