Abel's Berkshire now owns the fourth-largest U.S. homebuilder and about 11% of the second-largest
Berkshire under Greg Abel paid $6.8 billion in equity for Taylor Morrison, then lifted its Lennar stake 94% in the third quarter, ResiClub calculates. Abel told CNBC he does not envision a quick housing recovery, and the payoff is years away.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption85
- Hype gap−5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence70
Hunterbrook, short Lennar and Millrose, says none of 75 Millrose homes it visited looked occupied
Hunterbrook Media reporters found none of 75 Millrose-owned homes in Florida and Texas appeared occupied in late September. Hunterbrook Capital discloses it is short both Millrose and Lennar, so the finding comes with a position attached.
Publishers:hntrbrk.com
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives80
- Confidence45
Greg Abel added 48.1 million Alphabet shares in his second full quarter as CEO, with roughly 60% of the spend routed through a private placement tied to Google's June capital raise.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 2%
- Operator
- Operator 14%
- Investor
- Investor 84%
Reality
- Evidence78
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives40
- Confidence70
buildOne report1 publisher NavigateAI's new contracts price a saving that weather and crew composition also move
Paying for outcomes sounds cleaner than paying for tokens until someone has to price the counterfactual, and the measurement that would make NavigateAI's cut defensible has to be run inside the builder buying it.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives70
- Confidence50
Discounts to move new homes have halved Lennar's gross margin since 2022
Builders held 487,000 new single-family homes for sale in August, 8.5 months of supply, while sales stayed at 2019's pace of 57,000. Lennar keeps its homes selling at a net price 24% below 2022, on a gross margin that has fallen to 15.8% from 29.2%.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence58