Justin Drake's plan to move coins to fresh addresses meets objections from wallet and scaling builders
Ethereum researcher Justin Drake says ECDSA could break in the worst case within months and wants coins moved to fresh addresses. Of six other people Cointelegraph quotes, one shares his alarm, two dispute the evidence and three question the remedy.
Reality
- Evidence22
- Adoption
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- Hype gap+40
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Starknet says it is actively considering leaving Ethereum to become its own L1, with 2027 as its target for full quantum resistance. STRK rose about 20% to $0.073, Decrypt reported, so holders are already paying for an exit that is still only under discussion.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 37%
- Operator
- Operator 17%
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- Investor 46%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+55
- Incentives45
- Confidence68
Charles Hoskinson said on Oct. 9 that Vitalik Buterin's AI warning could slow the lattice-based protections NIST standardized in 2024. Ethereum is the one project the sources show moving away from lattices, so the test is whether anyone else follows.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence60
Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake says AI could break ECDSA in "months not years" and wants large holders on fresh addresses now. Custodians would bear most of the cost, and his evidence is a single AI math result.
Perspective Coverage
15 publishers
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- Builder 37%
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- Operator 34%
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- Investor 29%
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+50
- Incentives45
- Confidence62
Zakura expects post-quantum signature opcodes for Zcash's transparent payments in January
Zakura, a Zcash full-node builder, expects opcodes for hash-based signatures on transparent payments to land in Zcash in January. No date has been confirmed for switching them on across the network, so January is when the code arrives and the protection date is still open.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives55
- Confidence40
Ava Labs puts an internal team on hash-based backups for Avalanche's ECDSA signatures
Ava Labs has an internal group studying hash-based signatures as a fallback for Avalanche's ECDSA, CEO Emin Gun Sirer said on October 9. Nothing is scheduled for the protocol, so the effort is a hedge against a failure Sirer ranks behind ordinary code bugs.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap0
- Incentives55
- Confidence40
Zcash developers aim to add quantum-resistant, hash-based signatures in January for transparent payments, which hold about 70% of issued ZEC. Shielded funds, the remaining three in 10 coins, wait for separate safeguards.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 42%
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- Operator 27%
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- Investor 31%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives40
- Confidence58
Bitcoin recovers to $82,500 on Trump's Iran pledge with futures leverage flat
Bitcoin climbed back to about $82,500 after Trump said the U.S. would not attack Iran before the Nov. 3 midterms, still about 4% down on the week. Futures open interest barely moved on the way up, so traders bought the bounce without taking on fresh leverage.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Glassnode's Rafael Schultze-Kraft counts 31.2% of circulating Bitcoin behind exposed public keys, up 222,000 BTC since May while supply grew 64,000 BTC. Exchanges supplied most of that rise, and a venue can cut its share by moving reserves to fresh addresses.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
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- Builder 28%
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- Operator 40%
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Reality
- Evidence60
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- Hype gap+25
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- Confidence60
Bitcoin fell to about $81,000 on Thursday as Brent crude rose above $105 on reports that the US may strike Iran again. Whether it holds the $82,500 support traders are watching now depends largely on Treasury yields and oil prices.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
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- Builder 7%
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- Investor
- Investor 75%
Reality
- Evidence66
- Adoption
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- Hype gap+22
- Incentives38
- Confidence70
Vitalik Buterin said AI-driven mathematics has a good chance of seriously weakening lattice cryptography within two years. He offered no demonstrated attack, and for teams adopting post-quantum schemes the forecast argues for lattice deployments built to be replaced.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 40%
- Operator
- Operator 41%
- Investor
- Investor 19%
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives35
- Confidence60
Bitcoin traders cut futures bets as 30-year Treasury yield climbs to 5.71% separately
Bitcoin traded near $82,800, roughly 4% below Tuesday's high, as the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 5.71% after Fed minutes pointed to another hike. Futures bets shrank at least as fast as prices, the pattern of traders cutting leverage, while an Ethereum Foundation researcher's 'bunker mode' warning split the industry over wallet security.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence50
Buterin recasts Ethereum as a cryptographic computer aiming for 8-to-32-second finality
Vitalik Buterin's "cryptographic world computer" post sets a target of 8-to-32-second finality against the roughly 200 seconds 12 confirmations take today. The forks after Hegota would rebuild verification, consensus and block construction.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Not scored
- Confidence45
Ethereum's quantum plan gets a one-way switch: draft EIP would retire BLS for good
A contributor's draft would make the validator deposit contract variable length and add a mode to end BLS signatures permanently. It is unfinished, unnumbered, and aimed at a 2029 target that may move.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence52
buildOne report1 publisher Native account abstraction slips again at ACD#243, and Poseidon is out
L2 pushback on EIP-8141 Frame Transactions keeps native AA out of Hegota's headliner slot for now, and the Ethereum Foundation has dropped its Poseidon hash for standard ones.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption48
- Hype gap−12
- Incentives68
- Confidence45