An ETF tracking the ICE Semiconductor Index, holding major chipmakers like Nvidia and Broadcom to mirror the semiconductor sector's performance.
Michael Burry swapped his Micron and Nebius shorts for put options expiring in June and September 2027, with Micron strikes near $500. His AI-bubble call now has a deadline and price levels that chip-stock holders can measure their own positions against.
Reality
September payrolls of 29,000, against an 84,000 consensus, lifted the Nasdaq 1.2% on Friday and turned a losing week into a 0.45% gain. Every major index was down through Thursday, so the AI-led advance depends on the Fed staying on hold.
Reality
Software stocks beat chips by 28 percentage points in the third quarter, as the IGV ETF rose 17% and SOXX fell 11%. Earnings now have to show how much of that came from AI revenue and how much from a hedge fund's forced buying.
Reality
Bank of America's September Global Fund Manager Survey keeps semis at number one for a fourth month, on 53% of respondents against 82% in July, and the newest positioning figure in the write-up is also from July.
Reality
Dario Amodei's call for slower model development knocked 4.8% off Broadcom on Monday, and Hock Tan told CNBC his $115 billion and $230 billion AI chip targets for fiscal 2027 and 2028 have not moved. Anthropic is due to become his largest custom chip customer next year.
Reality
Dario Amodei's call for the industry to pace itself sent software past chips by 10.67 percentage points, the widest one-day gap Dow Jones Market Data has recorded, and the analysts making the bull case date the money to 2027.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishersReality
The reported Ohio backstop shrank from $250 billion to $105 billion before the Aug. 26 print, and what is left is a bet on used-GPU resale values.
Reality