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Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps

The IRGC is a branch of Iran's armed forces that runs parallel military, naval, aerospace and intelligence operations to defend the Islamic Republic.

Known aliases

  • Iranian Revolutionary Guard
  • Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps
  • Iranian Revolutionary Guards
  • Iran's Revolutionary Guard
  • Iran's Revolutionary Guards
  • IRGC
  • IRGC Aerospace Force
  • Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
  • Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps
  • Khatam al-Anbiya Headquarters
  • Revolutionary Guard
  • Revolutionary Guard Corps
  • Revolutionary Guards

Current stories

leadershipConfirmed2 publishers

Ships reported 12 attacks near Hormuz in one week, the most since the war began

BBC Verify's analysis of UKMTO data shows 12 ships reported attacks near Hormuz in the week of 5-11 October, the most since the war began. Oil flows through the strait have already slipped from September's recovery, so operators with fuel or freight exposure are planning on a short record.

Publishers:bbc.co.uk mezha.net

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives50
Confidence68
investConfirmed6 publishers

Treasury sanctions the company that built BitBank's exchange software

OFAC's Sept. 17 action covers the Tehran exchange, its developer Pishtaz Simorgh and three Dot One executives, over hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin that Treasury says moved to the IRGC in June and July.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 18%
Operator
Operator 52%
Investor
Investor 30%

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives60
Confidence60
investConfirmed3 publishers

Brent closes above $104 as Trump promises no Iran strike before the Nov. 3 midterms

Brent crude settled at $104.28 a barrel on Oct. 8, up 4%, after Axios reported the Pentagon had ordered preparations for renewed strikes on Iran. Trump said the same day he would not attack before the Nov. 3 midterms, a promise that stops at the vote while energy and freight budgets run well past it.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 28%
Investor
Investor 67%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+12
Incentives72
Confidence64
investConfirmed6 publishers

US strikes Iranian launchers on Larak Island days after declaring Hormuz mines cleared

Washington said it would trade strikes for sanctions. Days later it went back to shooting. For anyone pricing a Gulf voyage, mine risk in the strait was paused last week, not eliminated, and the freight and insurance numbers will keep saying so.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 44%
Investor
Investor 51%

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives55
Confidence58
investOne report1 publisher

Gulf crude flows recover to 80% of normal on shuttle runs too costly to pull prices down

Gulf producers have restored about 80% of Hormuz crude flows with shuttle runs and a partly restarted Saudi pipeline, Seoul Economic Daily reports. Insurance on those runs and Iran's continued force in the strait keep prices on course to stay elevated through year-end.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
investConfirmed5 publishers

US bombers leave RAF Fairford for home bases after a threat Trump ties to Iran

US Air Force bombers have left RAF Fairford for their home bases after six arrests in a British terror inquiry, over a threat Trump says is linked to Iran. The move protects the aircraft, but Britain keeps the base and an Iran-linked proxy threat that its own officials say was already active.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 8%
Operator
Operator 68%
Investor
Investor 24%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives55
Confidence64
securityConfirmed5 publishers

Montenegro extradites Amir Barati, accused of hacking US universities for Iran

Montenegro extradited Turkish-Iranian Amir Barati to face US charges over a university hacking campaign that US officials say did $3.4 billion in damage. Where he chose to travel decided the case: police picked him up on holiday in Kotor, nine years after the charged hacking ended.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 12%
Operator
Operator 77%
Investor
Investor 11%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives40
Confidence70
investConfirmed3 publishers

Trump's 9,000-troop deployment could put three carriers in the Middle East days before the midterms

Trump is sending about 9,000 troops and a third aircraft carrier to the Middle East while calling more bombing of Iran after Nov. 3 "possible." For oil and rates, the case for a longer war rests on his refusal of an Iranian truce that offered to open the Strait of Hormuz.

Publishers:aljazeera.com fortune.com seattletimes.com semafor.com yahoo.com

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 53%
Investor
Investor 42%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives55
Confidence65
securityConfirmed4 publishers

US embassy warns US-linked organisations in Britain after five Fairford terror arrests

Washington's embassy urged Americans in Britain to exercise caution after police arrested five men near RAF Fairford on suspicion of preparing a terrorist act. Its warning covers US-linked organisations and gatherings in Britain, well beyond the Gloucestershire cordon.

Publishers:13abc.com independent.co.uk news.met.police.uk yahoo.com

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 71%
Investor
Investor 24%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence65
investConfirmed5 publishers

Trump threatens Oman over a Hormuz toll deal, and the closure stays in your model

The US is now threatening the state brokering a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, while Iran keeps the passage shut pending sanctions relief. Reopening is not a base case.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 47%
Investor
Investor 48%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+40
Incentives55
Confidence52
securityConfirmed4 publishers

Four days offline at a small UK plant, and the question stops being whether Iran can get in

An Iran-linked intrusion kept a British generator down for four days while US wastewater plants lost pressure across 12 states. The number that matters now is restoration time.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 16%
Operator
Operator 68%
Investor
Investor 16%

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives55
Confidence50
securityConfirmed6 publishers

Five new Iran determinations widen the sanctions perimeter to eight lines of business

Operation Economic Outcast names nearly 60 targets, but the durable change is the standing authority to designate foreign firms in crypto, technology, gold, aviation and shipping.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 15%
Operator
Operator 52%
Investor
Investor 33%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+40
Incentives60
Confidence65
investConfirmed5 publishers

Prosecutors chase 4% of an alleged $1.5 billion Iran oil network through two Binance customers

The Southern District of New York filed on September 14 to take roughly $61 million in crypto from two China-based firms that used Binance trading accounts, under a standard of proof that stops at more likely than not.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 15%
Operator
Operator 46%
Investor
Investor 39%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives55
Confidence65
buildConfirmed3 publishers

AWS has written off the customer data that lived only in its Bahrain region

Six months after strikes damaged facilities in Bahrain and the UAE, AWS says resources held only in Bahrain cannot be restored. Its resiliency guidance leaves cross-region copies to the customer to configure.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 30%
Operator
Operator 42%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+20
Incentives50
Confidence65
buildConfirmed3 publishers

AWS ran out of options for the data left in Bahrain when the second zone failed

AWS's status update says the strike damage exceeded what its regional and multi-AZ services were built to withstand. Customers who held data in a single zone in Bahrain or in mec1-az2 are being told it is not coming back.

Publishers:amp.insurancejournal.com economictimes.indiatimes.com spokesman.com techspot.com

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 28%
Operator
Operator 45%
Investor
Investor 27%

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+8
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence70
investConfirmed3 publishers

Binance's 97.3% Iran cleanup figure starts from a $4.19 million base

Manhattan prosecutors are examining whether Binance knowingly allowed trading that breached US sanctions on Iran, and the compliance numbers the exchange offers in response cover four named venues and about $4 million of flow.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 45%
Investor
Investor 50%

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+40
Incentives70
Confidence60
investOne report1 publisher

Iran's claimed drone tally adds up to about $720m since February

Iran's Revolutionary Guards say they destroyed a US MQ-1 over the Strait of Hormuz around September 14-15, adding to a claimed tally that US Central Command acknowledges in aggregate but has not confirmed case by case.

Reality

Evidence24
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+42
Incentives76
Confidence48
investOne report1 publisher

Taking 61.2m USDT into FBI custody requires Tether to burn it first

Prosecutors froze ten Tron addresses in June and July before filing on September 14. Getting the money into government hands means Tether destroys the frozen tokens and issues the same value again to an FBI hardware wallet.

Publishers:cryptoslate.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption58
Hype gap+10
Incentives70
Confidence55
investOne report1 publisher

SDNY's $61M Iran forfeiture covers about 4% of the oil flow it describes

A civil forfeiture complaint in Manhattan targets two Chinese firms and describes more than $1.5 billion in Iranian oil proceeds. Binance appears in it as a venue, and Richard Teng says the exchange is not accused.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption45
Hype gap+20
Incentives65
Confidence45

Earlier coverage

  1. Prediction markets price an empty Hormuz while ships are still transiting it

    Invest · September 13, 2026 · Confirmed2 publishers

  2. Tortoiseshell's 'uk1' and 'uk2': Iranian espionage crew now has servers in Britain

    Security · August 26, 2026 · Confirmed3 publishers

  3. Qeshm launches move Hormuz risk from rhetorical to ranged

    Invest · August 15, 2026 · One report1 publisher