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Institute of International Finance

Global association of banks and financial institutions that researches and reports on international finance, debt, and capital markets trends.

Current stories

investConfirmed2 publishers

Chip-export dollars push the won price of 100 yen to its lowest since 2008

Koreans buying yen are paying the least in about 18 years, as 100 yen fell into the mid-800s of won this week from about 950 in early summer. Most of the drop is the won's chip-export rally against the dollar, Korea Times figures show, so the saving depends on that boom lasting.

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence64
buildOne report1 publisher

Ten-year Treasury yield hits 5.34% as AI investment adds to the case for higher rates

US 10-year Treasury yields hit 5.34% on 1 October, the highest since 2002, in a selloff Reuters partly ties to AI and data-centre construction. For teams that borrow to build, AI's own investment is part of why markets expect rates to stay high into 2027.

Publishers:mezha.net

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+15
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence52
investOne report1 publisher

Stablecoin issuers fund about 0.05% of the world's $365 trillion debt through Treasury bills

Stablecoin issuers have added about $200 billion of Treasuries in five years, roughly 0.05% of the IIF's $365 trillion global debt tally. The bid matters in a US bill market that foreign buyers are leaving, and even the projected $400 billion for 2030 would be about 0.1% of world debt.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption50
Hype gap+45
Incentives45
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

IIF pins the won's July break from the yen on Samsung and SK hynix fab spending

A currency that fell for years partly because the yen fell is now rising while the yen weakens, and the IIF's explanation rests on export dollars coming home to build fabs, a flow that has not fully arrived.

Publishers:en.sedaily.com

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption30
Hype gap+36
Incentives61
Confidence41