Mercury's buried surface wrinkles suggest the planet shrank 10 to 30 percent more than estimated
A Geophysical Research Letters study says buried wrinkles suggest Mercury may have shrunk 10 to 30 percent more than experts thought. Lead author Gaku Nishiyama says the larger contraction suggests a core that started extremely hot and is mostly metal.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
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- Confidence45
Oratomic hits $5.4bn in a quantum market Gartner expects to lose over half its startups by 2030
Oratomic raised $475m at a $5.4bn valuation, the Wall Street Journal reported, as Gartner forecast more than half of quantum startups will close by 2030. Anyone signing a multi-year quantum contract now has to judge whether the vendor lasts to its own delivery date.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives65
- Confidence40
Universal Quantum, a University of Sussex spin-out, raised more than $100 million in a Series A co-led by DCVC and Firgun Ventures. The money goes into commercialising hardware at a company already delivering a $77 million contract for Germany's DLR, startup.eu reported.
Perspective Coverage
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- Builder 32%
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- Operator 20%
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- Investor 48%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence62
One path of a rubidium atom was held against gravity while the other fell freely, and the phase the two arms accumulated matches what Einstein's equivalence principle predicts for a quantum wave.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives35
- Confidence65
SoftBank tested its laser ground station against a passive mirror 20km up over Kochi
The August demonstration off Cape Muroto put a corner cube reflector on a Sceye airship and left the demanding part on the ground. There, a portable ranging system had to hold a narrow pulsed beam on a moving target and catch the return.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives68
- Confidence55
BepiColombo's laser altimeter fired into open space for the first time since 2017
The Bern-led BELA team ran the instrument's laser in 10-second, 10-minute and hour-long steps on 14 September, confirming it survived eight years of cruise. The pulses went into open space.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives62
- Confidence62
Hokkaido team raises Mercury's measured contraction to 11.6 km after correcting for rough terrain
Shortening structures turn up more often on smooth ground than on rough. Correcting for that detection bias raises Mercury's radial contraction from 8.3 to 11.6 kilometres, and the authors say even that is probably low.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Not scored
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives40
- Confidence57
Mercury's lumpiest terrain carries the fewest shrinkage wrinkles, which the authors read as impact debris burying the record. Correct for that and total contraction rises to as much as 23 km, with the thermal models still to be redone.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
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- Builder 42%
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- Operator 33%
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- Investor 25%
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives40
- Confidence66