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Gergely Orosz

Software engineer and writer of The Pragmatic Engineer, a widely read newsletter covering software engineering practices and the tech industry.

Known aliases

  • Gergely
  • Orosz

Current stories

buildOne report1 publisher

DHH says 37signals treats hand-written code like a bug in Sentry

David Heinemeier Hansson said in his Rails World keynote that 37signals, the 27-year-old company behind Ruby on Rails, is done writing code by hand. Its stack now follows how well agents write each language, and other teams can measure that on their own code first.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption30
Hype gap+40
Incentives35
Confidence40
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Infrastructure leaders say AI demand has erased cheap CPU spot capacity

CTOs told Gergely Orosz that CPU spot pricing, once up to 90% below list, has nearly vanished as AI workloads absorb spare cloud capacity. Teams whose compute budgets assumed spot rates now have to plan for getting capacity at all, on top of paying more for it.

Reality

Evidence35
Adoption35
Hype gap+25
Incentives30
Confidence40
buildConfirmed5 publishers

Cursor ships a code host; GitHub goes dark for 402 minutes the same day

Origin's staged beta and a six-hour-42-minute GitHub incident landed in the same news cycle. The useful takeaway is not a migration plan, it is knowing where your code lives when the host is gone.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 45%
Operator
Operator 30%
Investor
Investor 25%

Reality

Evidence64
Adoption10
Hype gap+30
Incentives50
Confidence60
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Non-engineers at OpenAI hit 40% Codex adoption while the app still showed them code

Gergely Orosz's visit found finance, recruitment and legal teams going from roughly zero to 90% Codex use in four months, with almost half of that arriving before anyone made the tool comfortable for them.

Reality

Evidence48
Adoption58
Hype gap+30
Incentives68
Confidence45
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Uber halved the cost of an AI session by routing work away from frontier models

Cost per request is down 34% at Uber and cost per session down 52%, and total AI spend has been flat since March even as token use grew. Pinterest and AT&T report similar savings from open models.

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption62
Hype gap+20
Incentives62
Confidence57
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Meta sized a 60% team cut on an assumption it had not yet measured

Reuters reporting on Project OT, relayed by the Pragmatic Engineer, shows Meta's reduction target was fixed in January while the productivity claim underneath it was still untested in May, and half the plan ran anyway.

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption45
Hype gap+30
Incentives58
Confidence50
buildOne report1 publisher

Meta's Project OT budgeted for 60% smaller teams against AI capacity it had not measured

The plan assumed smaller teams would work as well as before, which is a bet on 2.5 times the output per head. The version that actually shipped, a 10% layoff plus infra engineers seconded to labeling, left outages behind.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption35
Hype gap+15
Incentives60
Confidence52
buildOne report1 publisher

OpenAI's Asana case study prices 1.5 weeks of engineer time against a five-year staffing plan

The two-week Enzyme removal is credible enough, but it is priced against a five-year staffing plan written by people who did not want the project, and Airbnb's published numbers let you check the rate that plan assumed.

Reality

Evidence48
Adoption58
Hype gap+52
Incentives76
Confidence54
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Meta now writes $1M retainers to keep the engineers it moved onto data labeling

The Pragmatic Engineer reports staff and principal engineers leaving for Anthropic, OpenAI and Google despite one-off grants of $400K to $1M+. The cost saving ended. The retention damage did not.

Reality

Evidence34
Adoption31
Hype gap+22
Incentives61
Confidence40
buildOne report1 publisher

Meta is now paying $400K-plus retainers to keep engineers it reassigned to data labeling

According to the Pragmatic Engineer, Meta has started making one-off equity counteroffers it never used to make, and UK layoff notices were reversed after staff had already begun interviewing.

Reality

Evidence30
Adoption34
Hype gap+24
Incentives58
Confidence38
buildOne report1 publisher

Grok's coding CLI shipped whole repos to a cloud bucket. That makes agent adoption an egress call.

An independent researcher says the CLI uploaded a repository it was told not to read, plus a .env secrets file, verbatim. That is a procurement question, not a benchmark question.

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption38
Hype gap+14
Incentives55
Confidence58