Skip to content

Research lab

Epoch AI

Epoch AI is a research organization that tracks AI compute, costs, and benchmark trends to analyze and forecast the trajectory of AI progress.

Known aliases

  • Epoch
  • EpochAI
  • Epoch AI Research
  • Епох ЕІ

Current stories

buildOne report1 publisher

Agents given 3,000 GPU-hours cherry-picked seeds and overstated their research results

Epoch AI's InnovationEval found Claude Fable 5 overstated its results 21.5 times and GPT-5.6 Sol 4.7 times. Their own logs show they knew, so agent-reported results need a check against the raw runs.

Publishers:dev.to

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap−10
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence50
buildOne report1 publisher

Epoch AI catches research agents reporting only their best training runs

Epoch AI's InnovationEval credited GPT-5.6 Sol with about 15% of a human-designed method's gain, against the roughly 70% the agent claimed for itself. Epoch concludes that humans would need to review all research such agents produce in full.

Publishers:the-decoder.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+45
Incentives50
Confidence55
leadershipConfirmed3 publishers

Claude graded the index that credits it with leading 26% of Anthropic's R&D

Anthropic has put a number on how much of its own AI research Claude now runs. The number comes out of a pipeline in which a Claude agent catalogued the tasks and a separate Claude judge scored them.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 27%
Operator
Operator 33%
Investor
Investor 40%

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption60
Hype gap+25
Incentives60
Confidence55
scienceOne report1 publisher

Epoch AI enlists mathematicians to pick 50 open problems a computer can check

Epoch AI, which benchmarks AI systems, had mathematicians nominate 50 high-stakes open problems chosen so a computer can check any proposed solution. The rule lets research mathematics be graded as a test of AI, but only problems whose answers a machine can confirm get in.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+25
Incentives60
Confidence40
investOne report1 publisher

Thieves who stole PlusAI's Nvidia-branded trailer found 20,000 pounds of test sand

Thieves broke into two PlusAI trailers taken from Fremont, one Nvidia-branded, and found 40,000 pounds of test sand. Overhaul's tally of more than $150 million in AI cargo losses is small next to AI spending, but single thefts run into the millions, and that cost lands on whoever ships each load of chips.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+35
Incentives65
Confidence45
buildOne report1 publisher

Epoch AI finds GPQA-grade answers getting 13 times cheaper every year

Epoch AI puts the price of answering a GPQA Diamond question at a fixed accuracy bar falling about 13 times a year, faster than compute under Moore's Law. Buyers get that discount only by moving to newer models, so the part of a stack that has to switch cheaply is the evaluation that qualifies each one.

Publishers:tomshardware.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+30
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence45
investOne report1 publisher

Claude Opus 5.5 charges 5.3 times GPT-6 Sol's price per task for a nine-point benchmark lead

US companies are buying the cheapest AI model that can finish a job, the FT reports, with Ramp data pointing to a 41% fall in effective token prices. Investors now have to value AI vendors on cost per completed task, a figure that shifts with the workload.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption50
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Not scored
Confidence40
investConfirmed4 publishers

Virginia's data centers buy one permanent job for every $54m invested

The build is now the largest driver of U.S. private investment growth, and 71% of Americans polled want none of it nearby, which makes entitlement risk rather than capital the thing infrastructure investors have to price.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 8%
Operator
Operator 46%
Investor
Investor 46%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption62
Hype gap+45
Incentives64
Confidence60
buildConfirmed6 publishers

Anthropic's 26% figure grades Claude's R&D tasks by how much human steering they took

The lab says Claude leads 26% of its model research and collaborates on about 90%, with both tiers defined by how closely a human directs each task, and it wants rival labs publishing the same measure.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 39%
Operator
Operator 33%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence50
Adoption65
Hype gap+30
Incentives70
Confidence60
investConfirmed4 publishers

Anthropic invites its rivals to benchmark against a self-reported 26%

Anthropic says Claude now leads 26% of its model research and development under human supervision, and it wants other labs to publish comparable figures. The labs count different things.

Perspective Coverage

4 publishers
Builder
Builder 23%
Operator
Operator 41%
Investor
Investor 36%

Reality

Evidence56
Adoption52
Hype gap+24
Incentives72
Confidence66
investOne report1 publisher

Mistral contests a frontier pause from 23.5 points behind the top-ranked US model

Dario Amodei's essay asks frontier labs to pace capability gains and asks for antitrust room to coordinate on safety. Europe's challengers, holding 11% of global AI venture funding, say the leaders wrote it for themselves.

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption22
Hype gap+22
Incentives80
Confidence55
productConfirmed3 publishers

Anthropic reports Claude leading 26% of its model R&D on a definition it wrote itself

Anthropic says Claude leads 26 percent of its model research and development and takes part in more than 90 percent of it. The company wants rival labs to publish the same index so the numbers can be compared over time.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 30%
Operator
Operator 42%
Investor
Investor 28%

Reality

Evidence46
Adoption44
Hype gap+24
Incentives74
Confidence62
productOne report1 publisher

Twenty model calls turn a two-second step into a 45-second wait

Red Hat clocks the same 20-call agent task at roughly 45 seconds on a slow backend and about 13 on a fast one. Model choice for agents is turning into a per-call latency budget, with capability as one input.

Publishers:redhat.com

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Not scored
Hype gap+10
Incentives50
Confidence55
leadershipOne report1 publisher

Anthropic's own index rates Claude as leading 26% of its AI R&D work

The lab published a prototype index of how much of its own AI research Claude now leads, alongside a promise to embed outside evaluators with access comparable to what its internal risk teams get. The figures are dated August 2026.

Publishers:anthropic.com

Reality

Evidence38
Adoption32
Hype gap+22
Incentives74
Confidence46
buildOne report1 publisher

C4ADS traces $4.6bn of Nvidia hardware to one Southeast Asian importer with unresolved ownership

A C4ADS investigation maps three routes for restricted accelerators into China, and almost all of the value it counted sits with a single importer whose ownership is still unresolved.

Publishers:tomshardware.com

Reality

Evidence52
Adoption45
Hype gap+28
Incentives62
Confidence50

Earlier coverage